记忆力和代表性(Memory and Representativeness)
2 作者信息
- Pedro Bordalo
- Katherine Coffman
- Nicola Gennaioli
- Frederik Schwerter
- Andrei Shleifer
NBER Working Paper 25692
http://www.nber.org/papers/w25692
4 摘要我们探索这样一种想法,即通过代表性的判断反映了情节性记忆的工作原理,尤其是干扰。在有关提示记忆的新实验室实验中,向参与者显示了两组具有不同颜色分布的图像。我们发现,i)降低一组中给定颜色的频率会显着增加另一组中该颜色的召回频率,ii)对于固定的一组图像,相同目标分布的不同提示会带来不同的干扰模式和不同的概率评估。选择性检索和干扰可以为代表性启发式方法提供基础,但更一般而言,可以为理解来自经验丰富的统计关联的概率判断的形成提供基础。(谷歌翻译)
英文:
We explore the idea that judgment by representativeness reflects the workings of episodic memory, especially interference. In a new laboratory experiment on cued recall, participants are shown two groups of images with different distributions of colors. We find that i) decreasing the frequency of a given color in one group significantly increases the recalled frequency of that color in the other group, ii) for a fixed set of images, different cues for the same objective distribution entail different interference patterns and different probabilistic assessments. Selective retrieval and interference may offer a foundation for the representativeness heuristic, but more generally for understanding the formation of probability judgments from experienced statistical associations.