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2014考研 山东财经大学经济学院 山财大泡泡糖 2013-3-30 17 6550 悠悠仔 2023-2-24 21:17:33
寻找2014汇丰研友 北京大学汇丰商学院 早起的懒猫 2013-2-18 9 4378 悠悠仔 2023-2-22 13:30:16
免费分享SAS 9.3 sid win64 win32有效期至28FEB2014 attachment 数据分析与数据科学 zhou.wen 2013-5-24 1042 55207 angeljogging 2019-3-3 10:40:18
证券发行上市审核工作手册(2014.4.30) attachment 经管类求职与招聘 xxbyz 2014-7-7 33 13103 chenleihu 2016-4-16 18:26:13
2014考研“贾诩门”实战资料[线性代数必须记住的结论和终极总结] attachment 经管在职研 crystal_ball 2013-8-28 1 1669 斐斐斐 2015-11-26 10:17:25
2014首波开放申请英国大学汇总 - [阅读权限 5] 院校申请 reduce_fat 2013-8-26 2 1315 pzh_hzp 2015-8-20 08:39:03
悬赏 The European Union as hardening agent: soft law and the diffusion of global fina - [!reward_solved!] attachment 求助成功区 peter 2014-6-17 2 782 giresse 2014-6-18 06:00:37
汉青研究院2014届毕业生就业形势 经管类求职与招聘 春雨识节 2014-3-28 7 1834 wingsail 2014-3-28 22:07:22
生肖鸡2014办公室风水 休闲灌水 女神无敌 2013-7-30 1 3261 谦谦圆圆 2014-3-2 21:58:31
求合工大最后五套题(2014)及答案 经管在职研 黑目shadow 2013-12-6 1 5494 yc5k 2013-12-6 13:19:38
2014银行校园招聘笔试暑假保过班!助您轻松实现银行家梦想 attach_img 金融工程(数量金融)与金融衍生品 天梯培训网络部1 2013-8-15 0 1357 天梯培训网络部1 2013-8-15 15:30:35
求2014新东方考研历史学全程视频 经管在职研 许万景 2013-7-30 1 5290 战国霸王 2013-7-30 09:29:17
本人打算考2010重庆大学经管院 保研/调剂(考研) dfg84jlkh68f 2013-7-25 3 1064 dfg84jlkh68f 2013-7-28 21:08:03

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分享 【2014】Enterprise Integration and Information Architecture: A Systems Perspecti .
kychan 2015-2-6 20:57
【2014】Enterprise Integration and Information Architecture: A Systems Perspective on Industrial Information Integration https://bbs.pinggu.org/thread-3571417-1-1.html 声明: 本资源仅供学术研究参考之用,发布者不负任何法律责任,敬请下载者支持购买正版。 提倡免费分享! 我发全部免费的,分文不收 来看看 ... 你也可关注我 https://bbs.pinggu.org/z_guanzhu.php?action=listattentionfuid=3727866
个人分类: 【每日精华】|26 次阅读|0 个评论
分享 2014智慧财经巅峰榜
大智慧数据 2014-5-29 10:38
2014智慧财经巅峰榜
2014智慧财经巅峰榜是由上海大智慧股份有限公司发起组织的,通过大智慧投资者初选、复选投票的形式,最终筛选出进入终选名单。将评出“投资者最关注的上市公司”,“最佳投资者关系上市公司”,“最具社会责任的上市公司”等17项榜单。http://gwfinance.gw.com.cn/index.html 参选的“智慧财经巅峰榜-中国基金业 杰出掌门人”需要具有良好的公司管理能力; 良好的业内声誉; 能带领公司稳步发展; 对行业的创新具有杰出贡献
15 次阅读|0 个评论
分享 American Economic Review: Vol. 104 No. 4 (April 2014)
W¤就是→我 2014-5-29 09:36
Articles A Grand Gender Convergence: Its Last Chapter (pp. 1091-1119) Claudia Goldin Vertical Integration and Input Flows (pp. 1120-48) Enghin Atalay , Ali Hortasu and Chad Syverson Misallocation and Growth (pp. 1149-71) Boyan Jovanovic Search, Liquidity, and the Dynamics of House Prices and Construction (pp. 1172-1210) Allen Head , Huw Lloyd-Ellis and Hongfei Sun Spatial Development (pp. 1211-43) Klaus Desmet and Esteban Rossi-Hansberg The Role of Local Officials in New Democracies: Evidence from Indonesia (pp. 1244-87) Monica Martinez-Bravo Bidding for Incomplete Contracts: An Empirical Analysis of Adaptation Costs (pp. 1288-1319) Patrick Bajari , Stephanie Houghton and Steven Tadelis Do Physicians' Financial Incentives Affect Medical Treatment and Patient Health? (pp. 1320-49) Jeffrey Clemens and Joshua D. Gottlieb Shorter Papers Cycles of Conflict: An Economic Model (pp. 1350-67) Daron Acemoglu and Alexander Wolitzky Frictionless Technology Diffusion: The Case of Tractors (pp. 1368-91) Rodolfo E. Manuelli and Ananth Seshadri Investment Dispersion and the Business Cycle (pp. 1392-1416) Rüdiger Bachmann and Christian Bayer Knowledge Is (Less) Power: Experimental Evidence from Residential Energy Use (pp. 1417-38) Katrina Jessoe and David Rapson Stock Prices, News, and Economic Fluctuations: Comment (pp. 1439-45) André Kurmann and Elmar Mertens Heterogeneity and Aggregation: Implications for Labor-Market Fluctuations: Comment (pp. 1446-60) Shuhei Takahashi Heterogeneity and Aggregation: Implications for Labor-Market Fluctuations: Reply (pp. 1461-66) Yongsung Chang and Sun-Bin Kim
个人分类: American Economic Review|18 次阅读|0 个评论
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分享 投稿就在这几天,你不来就是损失
唿晴fsq 2014-4-30 17:13
最后ICETA 2014再次征稿,就要提前截稿了,需要发工程计算机等文章的作者们,赶紧赶紧时间,不要错过。时间是不等人的,你还看什么,说的就是你,赶紧跟我联系吧!网址: http://iceta2014.csp.escience.cn 。qq:800049688或者是:2995879473,范编辑。在者我们这边还有另外一个会议,有兴趣的可以进去逛逛哦!网址如下: http://icitce2014.csp.escience.cn
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分享 大庆商江推荐2014年度中国大陆一流的130多个论坛博客
大庆商江 2014-4-25 07:14
大庆商江推荐 2014 年度中国大陆一流的 130 多个论坛博客 【排名不分先后,欢迎网友踊跃提名推荐筛选】 2014 年 04 月 01 日 ,《求是》《意识形态工作要紧紧抓在手上》:现在,互联网的影响越来越大。让互联网有一个相对开放自由的舆论环境,作为对主流舆论阵地的一种补充,本该是有益的、建设性的。依法治理网络乱象,让网络空间清朗起来,关系意识形态领域斗争,关系巩固壮大主流思想舆论,关系国家改革发展稳定大局,是一件必须办好的大事。 办论坛博客的指导思想应当是让网友满意,让政府放心。因此,论坛博客的所有者、设计者、管理者应当树立为网友提供优质服务的理念,决不让网友为难。更不要把网友当“贼”防范。要少用甚至不用过滤屏蔽拦截软件,取消对网友注册、登录、发帖的种种限制。应当相信广大网友遵纪守法。违法者自行担责,论坛博客依法备份举报,配合网监惩治网络违法行为,净化网络空间。 我认为,一流的论坛博客至少有三个特点。一是注册简便。二是发帖字数不限。三是言论自由。 我发帖的样本是:如何看待小说《金瓶梅》(发表在 《商江扫描〈金瓶梅〉》 第 1 页 - 第 34 页)。 《商江扫描〈金瓶梅〉》 由北京艺术与科学电子出版社 2011 年 3 月出版发行 统一书号 ISBN:978-7-900272-48-5. 对待合法出版物里的一篇文章,各论坛博客作何反应,可以一定程度反映论坛博客管理水准。 土豆网 ( 沪 ICP 证:沪 B2-20120009) http://www.tudou.com/ 显示:“内容太长了,你大概输入了 '320196' 个字符。” 沙河市贴吧论坛 (冀 ICP 备 12017184 ) http://www.shahe168.com/ “提示:该主题含有非法言论,已被系统自动屏敝!” 沙河市贴吧论坛 或许安装使用了劣质的论坛屏蔽拦截软件 我认为,以下 100 多个论坛博客可以提名为目前中国大陆一流的(出类拔萃的)论坛博客。祝他们一马当先,快马加鞭。祝其他论坛奋起直追,万马奔腾,马到成功。 以下全国一流论坛排名不分先后大体分为网、博客、日志、在线、论坛、社区、空间、家园、其他几种类型 排序只是为了掌握准确数据 **360 图书馆 ( 京 ICP 备 05038915 号 )http://www.360doc.com/ 01 、人民网(京 ICP 证 000006 号) http://blog.people.com.cn/ 02 、中国网 ( 京 ICP 证 040089 号) http://blog.china.com.cn/home.php?mod= 03 、凤凰网(京 ICP 证 030609 号) http://www.ifeng.com 04 、战略网(京 ICP 备 11008173 号) http://blog.chinaiiss.com/ 05 、立方网 ( 京 ICP 备 12043712 号 )http://www.l99.com/ 06 、和讯网 http://post.blog.hexun.com/ 有禁止词!有不合适内容 48 、精英博客 (湘 ICP 证 010023 ) http://blog.voc.com.cn/user_index.php? 49 、时空博客 ( 经营许可证编号:桂 B2-20010010) http://blog.gxsky.com/blog.php? 50 、红网博客 (湘 ICP 备 09001846 号) http://blog.rednet.cn/home.php?mod = 有时删帖 51 、云边轻博( ICP 证?) http://www.ishumaxiu.com/index.php? 52 、青草地博客( ICP 证?) http://www.zhuodadx.com/app 53 、中国清算网博客(京 ICP 备 11030193 号 -1 ) http://blog.chinaqingsuan.com/cp.php?ac=blog 54 、高密在线(苏 ICP 备 11085338 号) http://www.gmtv.cc/bbs/ 55 、麻垌在线( ICP 证?) http://www.madongzx.com/ “ *** ” 56 、阜阳在线(京 ICP 证 100030 号) http://bbs.fy169.net/home.php?mod 无法提交? 57 、华数在线(经营许可证编号:浙 B2-20110427 ) http://my.hzcnc.com/ 站点屏蔽文字 58 、桂商在线 ( 桂 ICP 备 12007603 号 -1 )http://www.gxbol.com/home.php?mod= 180 秒发帖间隔 59 、大庆论坛 ( 黑 ICP 备 10004604 号 ) http://bbs.dqdaily.com/ 60 、大竹论坛 ( 蜀 ICP 备 11021055 号 -1 ) http://www.dazhuw.com/home.php?mod= 61 、大家论坛、重庆文学 ( 渝 ICP 备 05011785 ) http://www.cqwx.net/home.php?mod= 62 、广德论坛(皖 ICP 备 09007539 号) http://360.gd563.com/space.php? 63 、甘河论坛 (蒙 ICP 备 07000712 号) http://www.ganhe.org/ 发帖间隔 114 秒 ( 待审核 ) 64 、龙虎论坛( ICP 证:苏 B2-20040074 ) http://bbs.longhoo.net/read-htm-tid-3834972-ds-1.html 夜休 65 、东平论坛 ( 鲁 ICP 备 05007463 号 ) http://home.sddp.net/home.php?mod= 66 、郑州论坛 (豫 ICP 备 11019542 号) http://www.zzbbs.com/ 审核中 67 、周口论坛(豫 ICP 备 13021251 号 -2 ) http://www.zhoukoubbs.cn/home.php?mod= 68 、珠海论坛 ( 粤 ICP 备 09101447 号 )http://bbs.zh5156.com/home.php?mod= 没有权限发表 URL 连接 69 、辽阳论坛 ( 辽 ICP 备 11001552 号 )http://bbs.0419.cn/home.php?mod= 70 、僚人论坛 ( 壮族在线 ) ( ICP 证?) http://www.rauz.net.cn/bbs/ 71 、深圳论坛(经营许可证号 粤 B2-20030128 ) http://szbbs.sznews.com/home.php?mod= 待审核 72 、精英论坛(湘 ICP 证 010023 )(湘 ICP 证 010023 ) http://blog.voc.com.cn/ 73 、寿县论坛 ( 皖 ICP 备 11001442 号 -1 )http://bbs.0564shw.com/home.php?mod= 74 、濠滨论坛(苏 ICP 备 05014191 号) http://my.0513.org/home.php?mod= 75 、湖北论坛( ICP 证?) http://www.008111.com/home.php?mod= 待审核 76 、涪风论坛 ( 渝 ICP 备 11007558 号 )http://www.fuling.com/home.php?mod= 待审核 77 、石井论坛 ( 闽 ICP 备 05011134 号 )http://www.ishijing.com/home.php?mod= 注册密码复杂 78 、顺丰论坛 ( 粤 ICP 备 08034243 号 )http://bbs.sf-express.com/forum.php?mod= 79 、瓯柑论坛 ( 浙 ICP 备 09100296 号 )http://blog.wzrb.com.cn/home.php?mod= 80 、中北镇论坛 (天津) http://www.zbz365.com/home.php?mod= 81 、新台州论坛 (浙 B2-20120321 号) http://bbs.xintaizhou.com/ 82 、张家口论坛 (苏 ICP 备 13000595 号) http://www.zhangjk.com/apps.php?q=diary 83 、 K12 教育论坛 ( 京 ICP 证 050308 号 ) http://sq.k12.com.cn/discuz/home.php?mod= 84 、人大经济论坛(京 ICP 备 11001960 号) https://bbs.pinggu.org/home.php?mod= 待审核 85 、大庆油田论坛 ( 黑 ICP 备 11001978 号 ) http://bbs.dqytw.com/ 86 、山东经方论坛( ICP 证?) http://www.sdjflt.com/home.php?mod= 87 、文化发展论坛(京 ICP 备 06023340 号) http://www.ccmedu.com/blog/user_index.asp 88 、邳州城乡论坛 ( 苏 ICP 备 12014813 号 ) http://www.50902.com/ 89 、武鸣灵水论坛( ICP 备?) http://bbs.nxtop.com/ 90 、滁州西涧论坛 ( 网站已备案 )http://bbs.chuzhou.cn/home.php?mod= 91 、阜阳社区论坛(京 ICP 备 06039095 号) http://bbs.fy169.net/home.php?mod= 无法提交 ? 92 、厦门人才网论坛( ICP 证?) http://www.xm592.cn/home.php?mod= 93 、宁夏西海固论坛 ( 宁 ICP 备 11000104 号 ) http://www.xihaigu.com.cn/forum.php?mod= 94 、中华国风文学论坛( ICP 证?) http://bbs.zhgfwx.com/apps.php?q=diary 95 、金羊社区 ( 粤 ICP 证 020010 ) http://bbs.ycwb.com/home.php?mod= 待审核 删帖 96 、济南社区(鲁 ICP 备?) http://bbs.e23.cn/ 97 、聊城社区( ICP 证?) http://www.lc365.net/ 待审核 98 、云之南社区(滇 ICP 备 05000257 号) http://space.yninfo.com/home.php?mod= 99 、平顶山社区 ( 豫 ICP 备 13009580 号 ) http://www.pdssq.com/home.php?mod= 100 、仪征第一社区(苏 ICP 备 10042827 号) http://i.yzzs.cc/home.php?mod= 101 、顺德龙江社区(粤 ICP 证?) http://lj.furn168.com/home.php?mod= 102 、中国当代艺术社区 http://www.art-ba-ba.com/main/main.art? 发帖受限 control+v 103 、我的空间(浙 ICP 备 08109380 号 -3 ) http://home.chenyunhe.com/space.php? 104 、超星学习空间( ICP 证?京) http://i.chaoxing.com/17158231/blog_ 105 、果粉日志( ICP 证?) http://www.funso.com/space.php 106 、华声家园(湘 ICP 证 010023 ) http://home.voc.com.cn/space.php ? 有时删帖 107 、青岛圈之家 ( 鲁 ICP 备 08007539 号 )http://home.i0532.net/space.php? 108 、句容网友之家 ( 苏 ICP 备 06056688 号 )http://bbs.jrwang.cn/home.php?mod= 109 、 豆瓣(京 ICP 备 11027288 号) http://www.douban.com/note/create 社区指导原则?有时删帖 110 、迁安 8 ( 冀 ICP 备 09019348 号 ) http://www.qianan8.com/home.php?mod= 111 、看唐山(冀 ICP 备 13014200 ) http://www.lookts.cn/home.php?mod= 112 、南丰圈 (赣 ICP 备 12007127 号 -2 ) http://www.nfquan.com/ 113 、藏宝人 ( 浙 ICP 备 11058227 )http://www.cangbaoren.com/home.php?mod= 114 、三醉斋 ( 陕 ICP 备 05006427 号 ) http://www.sanzui.com/ 115 、村村乐 (京 ICP 证 040208 号 -6 ) http://www.cuncunle.com/ 留言 116 、 巨鹿之窗 (京 ICP 备 11026604 ) http://jl.1000city.cn/ 117 、户外起点 (京 ICP 备 09000193 号) http://go.gearok.com/ 疑安装了拦截软件 118 、溪通世界(辽 ICP 备 08002764 号) http://i.seetom.net/space.php 119 、我爱涿州 ( 冀 ICP 备 13016080 号 )http://www.ilovezz.com/ 120 、春秋窝窝(鲁 ICP 备 08005062 号) http://wowo.cqzg.cn/space.php? 121 、西祠胡同(苏 ICP 证?) http://www.xici.net/u15663349/ 122 、万叶千家 ( 京 ICP 备 12041955 号) http://www.homelifestyle.cn/home.php?mod= 123 、飞狐第二城( ICP 备?) http://www.d2c.feihuzaixian.com/ 124 、圈网你我他(京 ICP 证 060542 号) http://blog.niwota.com/ 125 、诸城信息港(鲁 ICP 备 12015127 号) http://bbs.zcinfo.net/ ( 待审核 ) 126 、山东人在他乡(粤 ICP 备 12089271 号) http://sdlj.com/ 127 、黄石江南明珠 ( 鄂 ICP 备 05015399 号) http://my.hsren.com/home.php?mod = 有时删帖 128 、东南商报全媒体工作室(浙 ICP 备 09091753 号) http://www.71gardener.com/space.php? 129 、 安徽师范大学蓝天 BBS ( 皖 ICP 备 1100263 号 )http://www.anshida.net/bbs/home.php?mod= 130 、 中国文化创意文学网站 ( 湘 ICP 备 13007120 号 -1 )http://bbs.hnxw.cn/home.php?mod=( 待审核 ) 上传 * 豆丁网(京 ICP 备 08006815 号) http://blog.docin.com/ 上传 * 道客巴巴(京 ICP 备 12004711 号) http://www.doc88.com/portal/upload.php?act=sell 上传 * 百度文库 http://wenku.baidu.com/new?fr=view 待续 (发帖字数受限) 01 、 02 、爱成都(蜀 ICP 备 11004648 号 -3 ) http://www.a028.com/ 限 9 万字节 03 、黄石风云网(鄂 ICP 备 11003927 号) http://www.0714abc.com/ 限 9 万字节 04 、百度空间( ICP 证?京) http://hi.baidu.com/home 限 5 万字符 05 、中新网社区( ICP 证?) http://bbs.chinanews.com/forum.php?mod = 限 5 万字符 06 、辽宁师范大学家教论坛(辽 ICP 备 12003305 号 -1 ) http://www.64jiajiao.com/ 限 5 万字节 07 、莒县论坛 ( 鲁 ICP 备 08106224 号 )http://www.jzw.gov.cn/bbs/read.php? 限 5 万字节 08 、搜狐博客(京 ICP 证 030367 号) http://www.sohu.com/ 发帖字数限制 3 万字? 09 、天涯博客( ICP 备?) http://blog.tianya.cn/ 限 3 万字 10 、 CCTV 复兴论坛 (京 ICP 证 060535 号) http://bbs.cntv.cn/ 系统限制 15000 字节 11 、威客网【中国赏金写手网】 (闽 ICP 备 07503195 号) http://home.3jxs.com/ 限制字数 12 、聚巴适(蜀 ICP 备 09022675 号) http://www.jubashi.com/ 发帖字数限制不明朗约 1 万字以下 13 、今天 (京 ICP 备 09025314 号) http://www.jintian.net/ 一次一登陆 14 、大众博客( ICP 证?) http://blog.dzwww.com/ 15 、中工博客 (京 ICP 证 100580 号) http://blog.workercn.cn/ 16 、晚霞网 ( 京 ICP 备 09103764 号 -1 ) http://user.wanxia.com/diary/Show/32345 发帖字数限制约 1 万字 17 、厦门小鱼网 (闽 ICP 备 05000086 号) http://bbs.xmfish.com/ 限 5000 字 观察 (发帖内容受限) 01 、 央视网社区 (京 ICP 证 060535 号) http://my.cntv.cn/ 内容中含有外部链接地址 02 、 中国广播网( ICP 证?) http://bbs.cnr.cn/ 没有权限发表 URL 连接 03 、 光明社区( ICP 证?) http://blog.gmw.cn/home.php?mod= 不良信息而无法提交 04 、淮网 ( 苏 B2-20100267 )http://home.huainet.com/home.php?mod= “金瓶梅”换成 *** 05 、阿拉宁波网 ( 浙 ICP 备 12020218 号) http://home.cnnb.com/home.php?mod= 有删帖 06 、 枣阳论坛 (鄂 ICP 备 12007146 号 -2 ) http://zaoyang.org/home.php?mod = 对 * 金瓶梅 * 有敌意? 07 、平潭岛 ( 闽 ICP 备 08001987 号 ) http://www.pingtandao.com/home.php?mod= 替换“金瓶梅” 08 、 儋州新论坛 ( 琼 ICP 备 12000679) http://bbs.danzhoufc.com/ 09 、井陉网 ( 冀 ICP 备 11012373 号 -2 ) http://bbs.jingxing.net/home.php?mod= 无法提交 10 、东南网(闽 ICP 备 05022042 号) http://sns.fjsen.com/cp.php?ac=blog 加入群组? 11 、教师博客( ICP 证?) http://www.teachblog.net/ 有违禁内容 , 不允许发表 ! 12 、 浙江在线社区( ICP 证?) http://blog.zjol.com.cn/home.php?mod= 无法提交? 13 、彩龙社区 (滇 ICP 备 06007192 号) http://blog.clzg.cn/home.php?mod= 14 、麻辣社区 ( 蜀 ICP 备 12003267 )http://home.mala.cn/home.php?mod= 有时删帖 15 、 天脉家园( ICP 证?) http://sns.xj169.com/space.php? 16 、 绍兴信息港•圈子 ( 浙 ICP 备 05067769 号 )http://sns.sx.zj.cn/uh/space.php? 有时删帖 17 、 天一论坛(浙 B2-20040210 ) http://bbs.cnnb.com.cn/home.php?mod= 有时删帖 对上述论坛博客,我是竖大拇指的。使用这样的论坛博客可以用一个字拉来形容:“爽”。不是“囧”或“窘”。当然了,仍有部分论坛不是尽善尽美。不过,请相信论坛会不断改进。 广大网友 ( 包括全体网管人员 ) 可以登录以上论坛博客,检验他们的服务是否优良。如果你认为哪个论坛博客服务不够满意,把他从收藏夹里删除就是了。 广大网友可以把自己心仪的论坛博客网址放在收藏夹里,推荐给亲朋好友,用起来顺手,心情舒畅,不憋气。少烦恼。 希望全国广大网友对一流博客论坛大力支持。这么多好论坛还不够你用吗? 希望全国论坛博客以上述论坛博客为榜样,办“让人民满意的”论坛博客(仅仅自己满意是远远不够的)。千万不要办成网友讨厌反感的论坛博客。网民(特别是网络大 V )流失的背后是人心的向背晴雨表。 任何论坛都是“有货不愁客”。也许他们认为网友铺天盖地,多一个少一个无所谓。否则,论坛不会滋生“本位主义”“官僚主义”“衙门作风”。 注册登录任何论坛的主动权都在网友的手上。如果网友面对成千上万的论坛,去哪个论坛就有充裕的选择。多一个少一个无所谓。不能满意的论坛,用不上的论坛,你跟他说多少好话,他就是不去。你跟他耍态度,他就更不去了。不是吗?换上你,你也不会去。 对于“禁止注册”、“身份验证”、“注册理由”、“邀请码”、“待审核”、“预防灌水机制”、“ IP 禁言”甚至是“永久禁言”以及“您没有权限发表 URL 连接”、“您的发帖数未到 50 ,不能发表带有链接地址的帖子!”、“标题或内容有敏感信息 , 未通过保 10 洁审核”、“您的 IP 地址不在被允许,或您的账号被禁用”、“您填写的内容包含不良信息而无法提交”、“抱歉,验证码填写错误”以及宣称安装了网站卫士、广告终结者等等的论坛博客,随意删帖的论坛博客,网友可以把他们看做“神马”浮云,远离他就是对他的惩戒。无论他们多么自命不凡,从收藏夹里毫不客气删除它就是了。不必“耿耿于怀”“义愤填膺”。 如果您每天把以上一流论坛登录一遍,那么,您就会对服务质量差的论坛“不屑一顾”。实在是忙不过来呀!被破烂论坛“永久禁言”是幸运。减少网友的无效劳动,节省网友的真挚情感。被破烂论坛“永久禁言”证明您的文章不平庸,证明您非等闲之辈。恰是您的荣耀。 我通常在全国一流的论坛发表文章。换句话说,我发表文章的论坛通常是全国一流的论坛。也可以说,发表不了我的文章的论坛一般都不是全国一流的论坛。 对于长篇大论来说,容量小的论坛几乎一点用处都没有。 目前,按照论坛单贴发帖容量,论坛可以大体分为五个档次。 第一档次,每帖发帖字数可以超过 5 万字。 第二档次,每帖发帖字数不可以超过 5 万字。 第三档次,每帖发帖字数不可以超过 3 万字。 第四档次,每帖发帖字数不可以超过 1 万字。 第五档次,每帖发帖字数不可以超过 0.5 万字。 发帖单帖限制在 0.3 万字以下的不入论坛档次,按微博看待。 写长篇文章的网友希望省级以上单位管理的论坛单帖容量超过 10 万字。地市级以上单位管理的论坛单帖容量超过 5 万字。县级以上单位管理的论坛单帖容量超过 3 万字。主流论坛保证大学以上文化程度的公民发言需求。其他论坛容量大小也就无所谓了。 以上为个人不成熟看法,仅供参考。 收集整理:黑龙江省大庆市退休老汉 商江 E-mail:dqddsj@163.com 2014 年 4 月 20 日 初稿,今后或有变动更新。 中国价值网 字数统计: 12637 字
个人分类: 论坛博客|1 次阅读|0 个评论
分享 2014上半年上海教师资格证成绩查询
童欣的童 2014-4-14 15:04
2014上半年上海教师资格证成绩查询
2014上半年上海教师资格证成绩查询 ( 上海教师资格证考试 :http://sh.zgjsks.com/) 笔试成绩查询开放日期:2014年4月14日,考生可通过中小学教师资格考试网站进行笔试成绩查询。 2014年上半年面试报名时间:4月14日--18日,面试日期: 5月17日--18日,面试具体公告信息请于笔试成绩公布后登录中小学教师资格考试网及上海教师资格证考试网站查询。 本市已参加国家中小学教师资格考试笔试,笔试各科成绩合格者且在有效期内(笔试单科成绩有效期为2年)的考生,可报名参加本次面试。 面试报名流程⇒第一步:网上报名 符合面试报考条件的考生在规定时间内登录教育部中小学教师资格考试网、上海教师资格证考试网,按照栏目指引进行网上报名.选择上海考区、面试类别、面试科目,完成其他信息录入。报名时间截止后,将关闭报名系统,逾期不再受理报考。 2014上半年上海教师资格证考试成绩查询入口: http://sh.zgjsks.com/html/2014/ggxx_0408/2844.html 2014年上半年上海教师资格证面试报名入口: http://sh.zgjsks.com/html/2014/ggxx_0409/2871.html 上海教师资格证面试相关讯息公布后将第一时间更新于此!敬请【ctrl+D】收藏本页随时关注。 更多上海教师资格证面试信息请关注: 上海教师教育网 上海教师资格考试交流群:283299093 2014年教师资格面试即将开始,为了让通过笔试的各位学员不留遗憾,顺利通过最后一面,中公教育教师研究院特针对考情,集中所有资深师资力量,为学员研发出最具保障的面试课程,并开展各种优惠活动,助学员“一面通关,轻松拿证”! 教师资格考前冲刺:www.zgjsks.com/zg/2014qg_jszgms/
个人分类: 上海教师资格考试|0 个评论
分享 2014,3 ,1商学院大二下学期,我为自己代言
amazing4 2014-2-27 14:19
2014,3 ,1商学院大二下学期,我为自己代言
日复一日,年复一年。新的学期即将开始,对未来充满希望,希望自己活得漂亮,学习,生活都能快乐。期待与以前能有所不一样,有新的变化,新的希望。做崭新的自己,积极地面对新的挑战,积极的看待身边的事,积极地去诠释面对的失败与挫折。让崭新的的光明的阳光穿过云层进入我的世界。乐观,激情,勤奋。我愿做一只野菊花,在花开中长大! Life is what you make it
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分享 American Economic Review: Vol. 104 No. 1 (January 2014)
W¤就是→我 2014-2-24 14:12
Articles Sales Taxes and Internet Commerce (pp. 1-26) Liran Einav , Dan Knoepfle , Jonathan Levin and Neel Sundaresan Risk Shocks (pp. 27-65) Lawrence J. Christiano , Roberto Motto and Massimo Rostagno Aligned Delegation (pp. 66-83) Alexander Frankel Immigration and the Diffusion of Technology: The Huguenot Diaspora in Prussia (pp. 84-122) Erik Hornung Violence and Risk Preference: Experimental Evidence from Afghanistan (pp. 123-48) Michael Callen , Mohammad Isaqzadeh , James D. Long and Charles Sprenger Consumption Risk-Sharing in Social Networks (pp. 149-82) Attila Ambrus , Markus Mobius and Adam Szeidl Risk Sharing and Transactions Costs: Evidence from Kenya's Mobile Money Revolution (pp. 183-223) William Jack and Tavneet Suri Estimating a Structural Model of Herd Behavior in Financial Markets (pp. 224-51) Marco Cipriani and Antonio Guarino Shorter Papers Worktime Regulations and Spousal Labor Supply (pp. 252-76) Dominique Goux , Eric Maurin and Barbara Petrongolo One Swallow Doesn't Make a Summer: New Evidence on Anchoring Effects (pp. 277-90) Zacharias Maniadis , Fabio Tufano and John A. List Partnerships versus Corporations: Moral Hazard, Sorting, and Ownership Structure (pp. 291-307) Ayca Kaya and Galina Vereshchagina Social Ideology and Taxes in a Differentiated Candidates Framework (pp. 308-22) Stefan Krasa and Mattias Polborn Term Premia and Inflation Uncertainty: Empirical Evidence from an International Panel Dataset: Comment (pp. 323-37) Michael D. Bauer , Glenn D. Rudebusch and Jing Cynthia Wu Term Premia and Inflation Uncertainty: Empirical Evidence from an International Panel Dataset: Reply (pp. 338-41) Jonathan H. Wright
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分享 大庆商江推荐2014年度中国大陆一流的100多个论坛博客
大庆商江 2014-2-13 07:23
大庆商江推荐 2014 年度中国大陆一流的 100 多个论坛博客 【排名不分先后,欢迎网友踊跃提名推荐】 目前,我国网民有 5.91 亿,手机网民有 4.6 亿多,其中微博用户达到 3 亿多人。论坛网友阵容庞大。 办论坛博客的指导思想应当是让网友满意,让政府放心。因此,论坛博客的所有者、设计者、管理者应当树立为网友提供优质服务的理念,决不让网友为难。更不要把网友当“贼”防范。应当相信广大网友遵纪守法。违法者自行担责,论坛依法备份举报,净化网络空间。 中国目前注册最简便的博客: 云边轻博客 http://www.ishumaxiu.com/ 中国目前最活跃的乡镇级论坛是 广西桂平市 麻垌在线 ( http://www.madongzx.com/ ) 中国目前面向社会开放的大学办的论坛是 辽宁师范大学家教论坛(辽 ICP 备 12003305 号 -1 ) http://www.64jiajiao.com/ 根据我对 500 多个论坛博客的发帖调查发现,全国论坛博客整体质量比过去大幅度提高。北京市一流论坛数量比较多,约 20 个,约占全国一流论坛的六分之一。 有的地方,县城论坛已经进入一流论坛行列。如:安徽省 太湖县人民政府网站 ( 皖 ICP 备 11015049 号 ) ; 安徽省寿县论坛 ( 皖 ICP 备 11001442 号 -1 ) , 四川省大竹论坛 ( 蜀 ICP 备 11021055 号 -1 ) 管理就很好。网友发帖比较顺心如意。 但是,也有一些大、中城市的论坛博客水平不如县城的论坛博客。有的地方把论坛视为当地稀有资源,不允许外地网友注册。 我希望每个县至少有一个比较像样的论坛。网友在论坛发言不再像是“奢侈”享受。 我发帖的样本是:如何看待小说《金瓶梅》(发表在《商江扫描金瓶梅》第 1 页 - 第 34 页)。 商江扫描《金瓶梅》 由北京艺术与科学电子出版社 2011 年 3 月出版发行 统一书号 ISBN:978-7-900272-48-5. 对待合法出版物里的一篇文章,各论坛博客作何反应,可以一定程度反映论坛博客管理水准。 土豆网 ( 沪 ICP 证:沪 B2-20120009) http://www.tudou.com/ 显示:“ 内容太长了,你大概输入了 '320196' 个字符 。” 我认为,以下 100 多个论坛博客可以提名为目前中国大陆一流的(出类拔萃的)论坛博客。祝他们一马当先,快马加鞭。祝其他论坛奋起直追,万马奔腾,马到成功。 以下全国一流论坛排名不分先后,排序是为了掌握准确数据 01 、云县网 ( 滇 ICP 备 12005935 号) http://www.yunxian58.com/ “** 党 ” 02 、人民网(京 ICP 证 000006 号) http://blog.people.com.cn/ 03 、中国网 ( 京 ICP 证 040089 号) http://blog.china.com.cn/home.php?mod= 04 、凤凰网(京 ICP 证 030609 号) http://www.ifeng.com 05 、战略网(京 ICP 备 11008173 号) http://blog.chinaiiss.com/ 06 、人人网 ( 京 ICP 证 090254 号 ) http://blog.renren.com/blog/ 07 、一项网 ( 豫 ICP 备 11011686 号 -2 ) http://www.xiangchengshi.com/home.php?mod= 08 、二泉网( ICP 许可证:苏 B2-20080040 ) http://bbs.wst.cn/ 09 、立方网 ( 京 ICP 备 12043712 号 )http://www.l99.com/ 10 、智慧网(浙 ICP 备 12002619 号 -1 ) http://www.witpark.com/rc/state.php? 11 、东南网(闽 ICP 备 05022042 号) http://sns.fjsen.com/cp.php?ac=blog 12 、艾美网 ( 豫 ICP 备 11007538 号 )http://home.aimeiy.com/home.php?mod= 13 、井陉网 ( 冀 ICP 备 11012373 号 -2 ) http://bbs.jingxing.net/home.php?mod = 无法提交 14 、 特蝶网( 皖ICP备13005033号 ) http://www.tedie.com/home.php?mod= 15 、和讯网 http://post.blog.hexun.com/ 有禁止词! 40 、红网博客(湘 ICP 备 09001846 号) http://blog.rednet.cn/home.php?mod= 41 、精英博客 http://blog.voc.com.cn/user_index.php? 42 、时空博客 ( 经营许可证编号:桂 B2-20010010) http://blog.gxsky.com/blog.php? 43 、教师博客( ICP 证?) http://www.teachblog.net/ 有违禁内容 , 不允许发表 ! 44 、博客大巴(沪 ICP B2-20080056 号) http://passport.blogbus.com/ 有拦截软件表示 45 、 云边轻博 ( ICP 证?) http://www.ishumaxiu.com/index.php? 46 、中国清算网博客(京 ICP 备 11030193 号 -1 ) http://blog.chinaqingsuan.com/cp.php?ac=blog 47 、我的红黄蓝博客(京 ICP 备 05062621 号) http://www.rybbaby.com/blog/ 48 、高密日志(苏 ICP 备 11085338 号) http://www.gmtv.cc/bbs/ 49 、果粉日志( ICP 证?) http://www.funso.com/space.php? 50 、麻垌在线 ( ICP 证?) http://www.madongzx.com/ “***” 51 、阜阳在线(京 ICP 证 100030 号) http://bbs.fy169.net/home.php?mod 52 、华数在线(经营许可证编号:浙 B2-20110427 ) http://my.hzcnc.com/ 站点屏蔽文字 53 、桂商在线 ( 桂 ICP 备 12007603 号 -1 )http://www.gxbol.com/home.php?mod= 54 、浙江在线社区( ICP 证?) http://blog.zjol.com.cn/home.php?mod= 55 、龙虎论坛( ICP 证:苏 B2-20040074 ) http://bbs.longhoo.net/read-htm-tid-3834972-ds-1.html 56 、天一论坛(浙 B2-20040210 ) http://bbs.cnnb.com.cn/home.php?mod = ( 待审核 ) 无法提交 57 、天下论坛( ICP 证?) http://www.arzars.com/ 大庆论坛 ( 黑 ICP 备 10004604 号 ) http://bbs.dqdaily.com/ 审核中 58 、 太湖论坛 ( 皖 ICP 备 11015049 号 ) http://bbs.thx.gov.cn/home.php?mod= 59 、湖北论坛( ICP 证? ) http://www.008111.com/home.php?mod = 待审核 60 、鹤壁论坛 ( 豫 ICP 备 13016561 号 ) http://home.ylxdh.com/home.php?mod= 61 、广德论坛(皖 ICP 备 09007539 号) http://360.gd563.com/space.php? 62 、东平论坛 ( 鲁 ICP 备 05007463 号 ) http://home.sddp.net/home.php?mod= 63 、沂蒙论坛(鲁 ICP 备 11031198 号) http://bbs.aiyimeng.com/home.php?mod= 64 、精英论坛(湘 ICP 证 010023 )(湘 ICP 证 010023 ) http://blog.voc.com.cn/ 65 、辽阳论坛 ( 辽 ICP 备 11001552 号 )http://bbs.0419.cn/home.php?mod= 66 、大竹论坛 ( 蜀 ICP 备 11021055 号 -1 ) http://www.dazhuw.com/home.php?mod= 67 、寿县论坛 ( 皖 ICP 备 11001442 号 -1 ) http://bbs.0564shw.com/home.php?mod= 68 、周口论坛(豫 ICP 备 13021251 号 -2 ) http://www.zhoukoubbs.cn/home.php?mod= 69 、濠滨论坛(苏 ICP 备 05014191 号) http://my.0513.org/home.php?mod= 70 、深圳论坛 ( 经营许可证号 粤 B2-20030128) http://szbbs.sznews.com/home.php?mod= 71 、望江论坛(闽 ICP 备 11000811 号 -1 ) http://bbs.iwj.cc/home.php?mod = 72 、宜州论坛 ( 桂 ICP 备 06010282 号 )http://bbs.25yz.com/home.php?mod= “GCD” 73 、僚人论坛 ( 壮族在线 )http://www.rauz.net.cn/bbs/ 74 、石井论坛 ( 闽 ICP 备 05011134 号 )http://www.ishijing.com/home.php?mod= 注册复杂 75 、海之角论坛( ICP 备?) http://www.harlt.com/home.php?mod = Error 儋州新论坛 ( 琼 ICP 备 12000679)(http://bbs.danzhoufc.com/) 用符号 *** 替换“金瓶梅” 76 、淮北人论坛(皖 ICP 备 05003986 号) http://bbs.hb163.cn/ 77 、 K12 教育论坛 ( 京 ICP 证 050308 号 ) http://sq.k12.com.cn/discuz/home.php?mod= 人大经济论坛(京 ICP 备 11001960 号) https://bbs.pinggu.org/home.php?mod = 待审核 大庆油田论坛 ( 黑 ICP 备 11001978 号 )http://bbs.dqytw.com/ 78 、山东经方论坛( ICP 证? ) http://www.sdjflt.com/home.php?mod= 79 、滁州西涧论坛 ( 网站已备案 ) http://bbs.chuzhou.cn/home.php?mod= 80 、武鸣灵水论坛( ICP 备?) http://bbs.nxtop.com/ 文化发展论坛( 京 ICP 备 06023340 号 ) http://www.ccmedu.com/blog/user_index.asp 81 、泰兴银杏花园论坛 苏通 196 号 http://www.0523bbs.net/ 82 、蓝凤凰心理咨询论坛( ICP 证? ) http://bbs.xyyx1.com/home.php?mod= 83 、辽宁师范大学家教论坛(辽 ICP 备 12003305 号 -1 ) http://www.64jiajiao.com/ 84 、四月社区 ( 京 ICP 备 08009205 号) http://bbs.m4.cn/home.php?mod= 85 、金羊社区 ( 粤 ICP 证 020010 ) http://bbs.ycwb.com/home.php?mod = 待审核 86 、彩龙社区(滇 ICP 备 06007192 号) http://blog.clzg.cn/home.php?mod = 无法提交 87 、麻辣社区 ( 蜀 ICP 备 12003267 )http://home.mala.cn/home.php?mod= 88 、济南社区( ICP 备?) http://bbs.e23.cn/ 烟台社区 ( 鲁 ICP 备 07014109 号 )http://bbs.535yt.com/forum.php?mod= 每小时限制发主题 1 个 89 、平顶山社区 ( 豫 ICP 备 13009580 号 ) http://www.pdssq.com/home.php?mod= 90 、阳光岛社区(琼公网监备号 :46010602000273 号) http://nanhai.hinews.cn/ 无权添加日志 91 、仪征第一社区(苏 ICP 备 10042827 号) http://i.yzzs.cc/home.php?mod= 92 、厦门小鱼社区(闽 ICP 备 05000086 号) http://bbs.xmfish.com/ 93 、阳春永宁社区门户( ICP 证?) http://www.529624.com/forum.php?mod = 发帖间隔 2 分钟 94 、中国当代艺术社区 http://www.art-ba-ba.com/main/main.art ? 发帖受限 control+v 95 、百度空间( ICP 证?京) http://hi.baidu.com/home 96 、超星学习空间( ICP 证?京) http://i.chaoxing.com/17158231/blog_ 97 、天脉家园( ICP 证?) http://sns.xj169.com/space.php? 98 、华声家园(湘 ICP 证 010023 ) http://home.voc.com.cn/space.php? 99 、僚人家园( ICP 证?) http://www.rauz.net.cn/bbs/home.php?mod= 赤峰家园 ( 冀 ICP 备 11022955 号 -1 ) http://www.vip0476.com/home.php?mod = 待审核 100 、水利人家园(鲁 ICP 备 13002987 号) http://uchome.shuiyw.cn/space.php? 101 、豆瓣(京 ICP 备 11027288 号) http://www.douban.com/note/create 社区指导原则 102 、迁安 8 ( 冀 ICP 备 09019348 号 ) http://www.qianan8.com/home.php?mod= 103 、看唐山(冀 ICP 备 13014200 ) http://www.lookts.cn/home.php?mod= 104 、爱成都(蜀 ICP 备 11004648 号 -3 ) http://www.a028.com/ 105 、藏宝人 ( 浙 ICP 备 11058227 )http://www.cangbaoren.com/home.php?mod= 106 、三醉斋 ( 陕 ICP 备 05006427 号 ) http://www.sanzui.com/ 107 、海化吧 ( 鲁 ICP 备 13002952 号 )http://www.haihuaba.com/178.htm 108 、聚巴适 ( 蜀 ICP 备 09022675 号 ) http://www.jubashi.com/ 109 、春秋窝窝(鲁 ICP 备 08005062 号) http://wowo.cqzg.cn/space.php? 110 、西祠胡同( ICP 证?) http://www.xici.net/u15663349/ 111 、溪通世界(辽 ICP 备 08002764 号) http://i.seetom.net/space.php 112 、我的空间(浙 ICP 备 08109380 号 -3 ) http://home.chenyunhe.com/space.php? 113 、飞狐第二城( ICP 备?) http://www.d2c.feihuzaixian.com/ 114 、网上千岛湖(浙 ICP 备 08112955 号 -3 ) http://www.qdhonline.com/ 禁止领导 115 、青岛圈之家 ( 鲁 ICP 备 08007539 号 )http://home.i0532.net/space.php? 116 、诸城信息港(鲁 ICP 备 12015127 号) http://bbs.zcinfo.net/ 117 、 360 图书馆 ( 京 ICP 备 05038915 号 )http://www.360doc.com/ 118 、乌鲁木齐 8 楼 ( 新 ICP 备 13002007 号 -1 )http://www.8lou.com/home.php?mod= 119 、山东人在他乡(粤 ICP 备 12089271 号) http://sdlj.com/ 120 、南康骑迹单车俱乐部( ICP 备?) http://www.nkqiji.com/ 121 、东南商报全媒体工作室(浙 ICP 备 09091753 号) http://www.71gardener.com/space.php? 上传 * 豆丁网( ICP 备?) http://blog.docin.com/ 上传 * 道客巴巴(京 ICP 备 12004711 号) http://www.doc88.com/portal/upload.php?act=sell 待续 以下论坛不限制发帖字数,容量达标 雅昌博客频道 ( 粤 B2-20030053)http://blog.artron.net/ 正在审核中请您稍等 ! 环球网(京 ICP 备 12013816 号) http://www.huanqiu.com/ 无法访问 安顺网( ICP 证?) http://www.anshun.name/ 安顺网 http://www.anshun.name/ 无法访问 全椒百姓网(皖 ICP 备 08105737 号 -2 ) http://www.qjbxw.com/forum.php?mod = 无法访问 冰城网(经营性 ICP 证 : 黑 B2-20091144 号) http://bbs.bingchengwang.com/ 无法提交 天天红火常州站(苏 ICP 备 12048031 号 -2 ) http://home.tthonghuo.com/home.php?mod= (待审核) 木蚂蚁游乐园(苏 ICP 备 05036710 号) http://net.mumayi.net/ 您目前没有权限添加日志 纳尼网( ICP 备?) http://www.51nani.net/ 您目前没有权限添加日志 米胖旅游商城官网( ICP 证?) http://www.mipang.com/blog/ 您发布的日志正在等待审核 哈尔滨论坛 ( 黑 ICP 备 13005173 号 -1 ) http://bbs.hrb.cc/ 疑似劣质过滤软件 河南人网 ( 浙 ICP 备 11064567 号 ) http://www.hhman.cn/home.php?mod = 中断了 楼兰小说论坛(粤 ICP 备 12000421 号 -1 ) http://www.loulantxt.com/post.php? “警告:内容中含有非法词语 ' 共产党 ' !” 另外,有 2 个境外网站论坛容量达标 新加坡华人在线 http://www.cnonlinesg.com/ 美国中文网 http://user.sinovision.net/home.php?mod= 对上述论坛博客,我是竖大拇指的。使用这样的论坛博客可以用一个字拉来形容:“ 爽 ”。不是“ 囧 ”或“ 窘 ”。 广大网友 ( 包括全体网管人员 ) 可以登录以上论坛博客,检验他们的服务是否优良。如果你认为哪个论坛博客服务不够满意,把他从收藏夹里删除就是了。 广大网友可以把自己心仪的论坛博客网址放在收藏夹里,推荐给亲朋好友,用起来顺手,心情舒畅,不憋气。少烦恼。 希望全国广大网友对一流博客论坛大力支持。这么多好论坛还不够你用吗? 希望全国论坛博客以上述论坛博客为榜样,办“让人民满意的”论坛博客。千万不要办成网友讨厌反感的论坛博客。网民流失的背后是人心的向背。 任何论坛都是“有货不愁客”。否则,论坛不会滋生“本位主义”“官僚主义”“衙门作风”。 注册登录任何论坛的主动权都在网友的手上。 对于“禁止注册”、“身份验证”、“注册理由”、“邀请码”、“待审核”、“预防灌水机制”、“ IP 禁言”甚至是“ 永久禁言 ”以及“您没有权限发表 URL 连接”、“您的发帖数未到 50 ,不能发表带有链接地址的帖子!”、“标题或内容有敏感信息 , 未通过保 10 洁审核”、“您的 IP 地址不在被允许,或您的账号被禁用”、“您填写的内容包含不良信息而无法提交”的论坛博客,网友可以把他们看做浮云,不必“耿耿于怀”“义愤填膺”,远离他就是对他的惩戒。 如果您每天把以上一流论坛登录一遍,那么,您就会对服务质量差的论坛“不屑一顾”。 我通常在全国一流的论坛发表文章。换句话说,我发表文章的论坛通常是全国一流的论坛。也可以说,发表不了我的文章的论坛一般都不是全国一流的论坛。 对于长篇大论来说,容量小的论坛几乎一点用处都没有。 目前,按照论坛单贴发帖容量,论坛可以大体分为五个档次。 第一档次,每帖发帖字数可以超过 5 万字。 第二档次,每帖发帖字数不可以超过 5 万字。 第三档次,每帖发帖字数不可以超过 3 万字。 第四档次,每帖发帖字数不可以超过 1 万字。 第五档次,每帖发帖字数不可以超过 0.5 万字。 发帖单帖限制在 0.3 万字以下的不入论坛档次,按微博看待。 收集整理:黑龙江省大庆市退休老汉 商江 E-mail:dqddsj@163.com 2014 年 1 月 30 日 初稿,今后或有更新。个人看法,仅供参考。 中国学术评价网 http://www.2250s.com/ 显示 8229 字节 本文在全国一流论坛发布畅通无阻。但是偶遇例外。 天涯博客 显示:博文含有关键词,请检查? http://blog.tianya.cn/blog/post 天涯博客 或许被过滤屏蔽拦截软件病毒感染
个人分类: 论坛博客|1 次阅读|0 个评论
分享 Triffin's Dilemma: The 2014 Edition
insight 2014-2-6 11:17
Triffin's Dilemma: The 2014 Edition Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/05/2014 20:09 -0500 Ben Bernanke Borrowing Costs Brazil Central Banks Federal Reserve fixed Foreign Central Banks Gross Domestic Product India Japan Moral Hazard Recession Reserve Currency Trade Balance Trade Deficit Turkey in Share 1 Submitted by Shane Obata-Marusic of Triggers ( pdf ) Triffin's Dilemma: The 2014 Edition What does it mean to be the world’s reserve currency? Everbank’s Chuck Butler sums it up nicely in the following quote : “Remember, the country with the reserve currency gets to receive loans at discounted borrowing costs. Also, commodities are priced in the reserve currency, meaning central banks around the world must hold the currency in their reserves to facilitate trade.” Furthermore , “Trading nations need dollars to lubricate trading and as foreign exchange reserves that bolster the value of their own currency and provide the asset base for the expansion of credit within their own nation” Many different currencies have held reserve status throughout history. This is important to note because it goes to show that, just like everything else, reserve currency status doesn’t last forever. At present, the US dollar is the world’s main reserve currency. That status has been a gift for the US: it has allowed it to run a deficit in perpetuity. But it has also been a curse : “The demand for safe assets feeds tha t exorbitant privilege enjoyed by the United States. This contributes to a weakening of US policy discipline as the country tends to excessively rely on easy credit in normal times and very expansionary macroeconomic policies in times of crisis. The outcome is excessive US indebtedness. The corporate sector was in debt prior to the burst of the dot-com bubble in 2001; so were the household and financial sectors before the eruption of the sub-prime crisis in 2007-08; and the official sector is in debt today.” Moving on. Let’s assume for a moment that the US recovers, the dollar appreciates in value relative to other currencies, the trade deficit shrinks, and QE comes to end. That all sounds good, right? Yes, but maybe not for other countries – specifically those with current account deficits. The end of easy money and artificially low interest rates will not bode well for the emerging markets. The “faulty five” – aka the “BI ITS” – Brazil, India, Indonesia, Turkey and South Africa are particularly vulnerable because they rely on external financing to operate. A stronger USD has multiple negative implications for their economies. Before we continue let’s introduce the idea of Triffin’s Dilemma. And now for a bit of history: “Prior to the 1944 Bretton Woods agreement, central banks used gold as the asset to back their currencies. By the end of World War I I , the United States had established itself as the world’s creditor and largest holders of gold. Under the 1 944 Bretton Woods agreement, the US Dollar was fully backed by gold at a fixed value of 1 /35th an ounce per dollar, and foreign Central Banks could use US Dollar assets as reserves backing their currency, in lieu of gold. This agreement avoided the inevitable deflationary pressure a return to pre-war gold/currency ratios would have forced just as Europe was beginning to rebuild, and allowed US debt held abroad to be used as an asset by central banks against their local currencies. (- Zero Hedge) After WW I I , America was the only industrialized country still intact. Through the Marshall Plan and rebuilding Japan and later South Korea, America was lending huge amounts of dollars to other countries, which in turn were used to collateralize their own currencies. America was able to run huge trade surpluses and our economy was booming. But, then Triffin’s Dilemma came into play. The demand for dollars around the world exceeded America’s ability to back it with gold. Those sneaky folks at the Federal Reserve printed more dollars anyway. And, when other countries figured out what was happening there was a run on America’s gold reserves and so President Richard Nixon had no choice but to stop backing the dollar with gold. However, the dollar remained the world’s reserve currency because of the size and strength of the US economy. ” ( Source ) Despite the fact the US dollar is still the world’s reserve currency, “The IMS is not in a better situation today. The quandary under the BW system – the lack of a credible anchor for international monetary and financial stability – continues to exist. Key issuers and holders of reserve currencies pursue domestic objectives independently of what would best serve the global system and even their longer-run interest. To the extent that these policies pay insufficient attention to negative externalities for other countries and longer-term macroeconomic and financial stability concerns, they tend to produce unsustainable imbalances and fuel vulnerability in the global financial system. In particular, a large body of literature supports the view that a worldwide glut of both liquidity and planned savings over investment – stemming from, respectively, reserve-issuing and reserve- accumulating economies – was a key driver of the hazardous environment at the root of the global financial and economic crisis which broke out in summer 2007” ( Source ) Will Triffin’s dilemma be relevant again in 2014 and going forward? Many people believe that it will. The US is now producing a lot more energy and importing a lot less - on a net basis. This is causing their trade deficit – which has been negative for the better part of 50 years – to shrink. If we think of the trade balance as part of the supply of US dollars then – as a result of the dollar’s world reserve currency status – a reduction in the trade deficit means fewer US dollars leaving the country. This has implications for other countries because they use USDs to buy US assets and for reserves. Triffin’s Dilemma is that the country that issues the world’s reserve currency will have to choose between: 1 ) running a trade deficit in perpetuity - risking of a loss of confidence in its currency and solvency while the rest of the world enjoys an adequate supply of USDs. or 2) running a trade surplus and enjoying an appreciation in the value of the dollar while the rest of the world suffers from a lack of liquidity and collateral. Either way, there are negative implications for world growth. In the first example – in which the US runs a trade deficit in perpetuity – the US continues to add to its debt and risks undermining its ability to pay off that debt. In the second example – in which the US runs a trade surplus – emerging market currencies are put under pressure by the USD potentially leading to capital outflows, a higher cost of debt, and global financial instability. When Bernanke first mentioned the possibility of a reduction in asset purchases in May of 2013, emerging market currencies – in particular the BIITS – sold off in a big way. At the same time, GDP forecasts for the emerging markets (started to get) (were) revised downwards. That was the tell. What I mean is that that’s when we first got a glimpse of what would happen if and when this giant monetary experiment came to an end. In other words, the end of easy money isn’t going to be easy. If emerging market currencies continue to depreciate then the relative value of the cash flows of companies that operate within those countries will fall. In that case, it’s likely that net capital outflows from those markets would continue. This flight of capital could force emerging market countries to increase their interest rates in an attempt to remain competitive for acquiring external financing. With more money going towards interest payments, growth will be limited even further. What’s more is that an increase in the relative value of the USD will cause the price of imports, financial assets, and external debt to rise in local currency terms. Lastly, and arguably most importantly, a smaller trade deficit or trade surplus will result in a reduction in foreign exchange reserves held at emerging market central banks. Source As those banks use their dollar reserves to buy back their domestic currencies in an effort to curb inflation they will 1 ) reduce their ability to “protect” their currency in the future and 2) reduce the asset base against which bank reserves are backed. In conclusion, the falling trade deficit in the US is likely to increase the relative value of the dollar. If, in addition to an improving balance of trade, the fed continues to taper its asset purchases, then it’s likely that emerging market currencies and ETFs will face increasingly negative pressures. Source Basically, there is no easy way out of this giant moral hazard driven debt bubble that the world’s central banks, and in particular the fed, have created. I am hoping for the best but I’m not sure how this will play out. The entire world is in way over its head in debt... Source And somehow, whether it’s deliberate or forced, we need to get rid of it all. Source What used to be known as the business cycle – i.e. a cycle wherein a period of expansion is followed by a recession which cleanses the system of malinvestment – doesn’t exist anymore. Currently, the entire economic system is centrally planned. Instead of letting the nature run its course, the world’s “best and brightest” minds in economics – the central bankers – have decided to try and outsmart it. I f the US continues to operate without regard to the effects on the rest of the world, then world growth will be negatively affected. Triffin’s dilemma: the 201 4 edition might turn out to be a prime example of the negative consequences of keeping money too easy for too long – i.e. suppressing interest rates and monetizing deficits. Unfortunately, policies that were intended to “smooth out” the economic cycle have only resulted in bigger booms and busts. Source Someone’s going to be left holding the bag. Try not to let it be you. Average: 4.8 Your rating: None Average: 4.8 ( 5 votes)
个人分类: 美国经济|16 次阅读|0 个评论
分享 早上好,2014!
落生2013 2014-1-1 08:24
2014,开始啦,加油2014!
17 次阅读|0 个评论
分享 2014如何规划自己的生活
liuhaoran_123 2013-12-22 12:02
AICPA 是我的目标,那个安云已经考完了六门
0 个评论
分享 2014美国媒体靠内容收费和原创广告生存
wxfwolf 2013-12-21 20:38
  2013年在阵痛中变革的美国媒体持续着各种分分合合: 新闻集团正式将华尔街日报在内的出版业与娱乐产业分 家; 时代华纳也宣布把拥有100多家杂志的时代 出版公司剥离 ;经 营华盛顿邮报80载的Graham家族将其卖给亚马逊电商巨头Jeff Bezos ;而年末另一家族企业 也将百年福布斯杂志摆上“出售架 ”。 2014年,纸媒谋求生存的新出路何在?有两大趋势值得关注。    网络内容收费   对新闻网站收费最初仅局限于专业内容媒体。《华尔街日报》1996年成为美国首家对网络内容收费的报纸。《金融时报》2007推出“计量收费墙”,允许注册用户每月阅读一定数量文章,超额开始收费。 直到2011年《纽约时报》启动类 似“计量收费墙”模式 ,不到两年,订阅收入已超广告。这对报道广泛新闻的媒体可谓打了强心剂。随着Gannett、Digital FirstMedia等报业集团的纷纷加入,预计2014年接近50%的美国日报将加入网络收费之列。   美国纸媒网络收费的“革命”,伴随着两个不可逆转的大势。 首先,平板电脑和手机的采用加速了报纸订阅的没落。为减少开支,美国过去十年新闻采编部缩水30% 。   其次, 网络广告程序化购买让广告商用更低的价格精准投放广告,并可跨网站瞄准自己的潜在用户。 相比与新闻媒体合作,价格高,广告投放平台单一。AdWeek预计到2017年,超过80%网络显示广告将为程序化购买。从广告客户处失宠的新闻媒体自然转向读者那里寻求弥补广告下滑的损失。   然而,并非所有媒体的收费之路都一帆风顺。《旧金山纪事报》收费仅四个月就不得已叫停,原因是读者反对声强烈。互联网早已让人们习惯了信息、资源免费消费的方式。如何让他们甘心情愿掏钱,媒体可尝试几种策略:   1. 提高内容价值   社交媒体让每个普通人成为内容发布者。专业媒体拼得不再是时效,而是对事件的解读、上下文的分析和创造附加值。新鲜独特的视角也可在竞争中脱颖而出。   2. 设立不同层次的收费模式   根据用户阅读需求设置不同价位,给予品牌忠诚度最高的读者“贵宾级”待遇,往往能获得更多回报。   3. 产品细分化   《纽约时报》将在2014年推出“收费墙2.0”,读者可依据个人兴趣对包括美食、评论在内的三种内容单独收费。    原生广告    原生广告并非新概念,可称得上是社论式广告(Advertorial)的一种再创新,让广告内容和形式与新闻媒体有更细腻的融合,为读者提供一种无缝隙的体验 。   社交媒体营销的成功让更多品牌跃跃欲试成为故事的讲述者,创造让受众真正愿意阅读并分享的内容,与潜在消费者产生连接与互动,让营销成为副产品。而新闻媒体的大平台和受众面刚好给“品牌讲故事”提供了最佳的渠道。有三家媒体对原生广告已发展出相对成熟的模式。    福布斯2010年开创“品牌声音”(Brand Voice)的特别栏目,让企业的专家以付费的形式在网站上发布文章,以传播其领域的专业知识为先,潜移默化影响读者。 文章有明确的品牌标志和署名,但形式与福布斯的其他文章一致 。自推出以来,福布斯的网络广告销售已占到整体广告收入的一半,取得公司5年来最佳财务业绩。   让品牌信息与媒体内容相融合,将其发挥到极致的非BuzzFeed莫属。 BuzzFeed以发布易被社交媒体分享的文章为己任,自称有独立于编辑部的内容团队,根据品牌要传达的理念制作让读者产生共鸣的文章,每篇收费20万美金。 例如,一篇为剃须刀品牌Schick创作的文章,以“废弃的剃须刀还有何其他同途”为主题,汇集了一系列极具创意的图片,让读者也参与出谋献策,借娱乐互动的方式轻松推广品牌。    以华盛顿为总部的《 大西洋 ( 7.05 , -0.26 , -3.56% ) 报》对原生广告的创新在于它对受众的细分。 继去年成功推出以平板电脑为主要载体的商业新闻网站Quartz之后,《大西洋报》今夏开办了另一窄众媒体Defense One,面向对国防信息敢兴趣的读者。两个网站的编辑加制作团队都控制在20人以内, 销售、市场和财务等资源由《大西洋报》总部来集体管理。既节省开销, 也有助在大公司内培养小团队的新兴公司来鼓励创新。   还有不少媒体的野心更大,如Meredith、Slate、Business Insider已创建内容营销的工作室,兼具公关或广告公司的功能,直接为品牌担当内容营销顾问。随着华盛顿邮报、纽约时报等“媒体大哥”相继加入原生广告行列,这场数字新生态下的竞争将在2014年爆发出新的火花。   (本文作者介绍:纽约担任美国财政时报市场兼商务拓展总监,对媒体的经营管理,市场推广及技术创新有深入了解,在新媒体、网络营销和社交网站方面有多年经验。)   本文为作者独家授权新浪财经使用,请勿转载。所发表言论不代表本站观点。
个人分类: 专业资料|17 次阅读|0 个评论
分享 2014省考/国考/面试 全程视频 免费资料下载
chibianyu 2013-11-11 20:19
2014省考/国考/面试 全程视频 免费资料下载 http://www.400gb.com/u/1112291/2371384 更多资料请移步 飞考网 http://www.freekao.com 可选择百度网盘或华为网盘
个人分类: 公务员|24 次阅读|0 个评论
分享 14 Facts About The Absolutely Crazy Internet Stock Bubble That Could Crash And B
insight 2013-11-7 15:36
14 Facts About The Absolutely Crazy Internet Stock Bubble That Could Crash And Burn In 2014 By Michael Snyder, on November 5th, 2013 Shouldn't Internet companies actually "make a profit" at some point before being considered worth billions of dollars? A lot of investors laugh when they look back at the foolishness of the "Dotcom bubble" of the late 1990s, but the tech bubble that is inflating right in front of our eyes today is actually far worse. For example, what would you say if I told you that a seven-year-old company that has a long history of not being profitable and that actually lost 64 million dollars last quarter is worth more than 13 billion dollars ? You would probably say that I was insane, but the company that I have just described is Twitter and Wall Street is going crazy for it right now. Please don't get me wrong - I actually love Twitter. On my Twitter account I have sent out thousands of "tweets". Twitter is a lot of fun, and it has had a huge impact on the entire planet. But is it worth 13 billion dollars? Of course not. When it comes to the Internet, what is hot today will probably not be hot tomorrow. Do you remember MySpace? At one time, MySpace was considered to be the undisputed king of social media. But then something better came along (Facebook) and killed it. It is important to keep in mind that Facebook did not even exist ten years ago. Yes, almost everybody is using it today, but will everybody still be using it a decade from now? Maybe. But the way that the financial markets are valuing these firms can only be justified if they are going to make absolutely massive profits for many decades to come. Will Twitter eventually make a little bit of money? Probably, as long as they get their act together. In fact, Twitter should be making significant amounts of money right now if it was being run correctly. But will Twitter ever make 13 billion dollars? No, that simply is not going to happen. But that is what Wall Street says that Twitter is worth. The utter foolishness that we are witnessing on Wall Street right now is so similar to what we saw back in the late 1990s. It is almost as if we have learned nothing from our past mistakes. These days I keep having flashbacks of the Pets.com sock puppet. For those too young to remember, the following is a brief summary from Investopedia about what happened to Pets.com... It's impossible to think of the first Internet era without thinking of the Pets.com sock puppet. He was everywhere and was nearly as well-known as the Geico gecko is today. That familiarity, in part, persuaded many investors to lay down money in the company's February 2000 IPO (which was backed by Amazon.com). Pets.com raised $82.5 million – but nine months later it folded, due to major recurring losses. Part of the reason for that was aggressive advertising, but the company also lost money on virtually every item it sold. In the third quarter of 2000, Pets.com reported negative gross margins of $277,000. (The second quarter had seen a $1.7 million margin loss.) That same quarter (its last full quarter as an operating entity), the company lost $21.7 million on $9.4 million in revenue. As for the puppet, he went on to shill for BarNone, which helps people with bad credit histories get car loans. He's still there today, front and center on that website. Everyone loves to laugh at the poor little sock puppet, but the truth is that the tech bubble that is inflating right now is far worse than the Dotcom bubble of the late 1990s. The following are 14 facts about the current tech bubble that will blow your mind... #1 In just a few days, the Twitter IPO is expected to raise close to 2 billion dollars even though Twitter actually lost 64.6 million dollars last quarter and has a long history of not being profitable. #2 It is being projected that after the IPO Twitter could have a market valuation of more than 13 billion dollars . #3 Twitter is not expected to make a profit until 2015 at the earliest. #4 According to CNBC, Pinterest is currently valued at 3.8 billion dollars even though it has never earned a profit. #5 Yahoo paid more than a billion dollars for Tumblr even though Tumblr's revenues are so small that Yahoo is not even required to report them on financial statements. #6 Snapchat, an Internet service that allows people to send out messages that "self-destruct", is supposedly worth 4 billion dollars . But it actually has zero revenue coming in, and many believe that it is essentially worthless as a money making enterprise. For one extensive analysis by a tech blogger, please see this article . #7 The stock of Rocket Fuel, an online advertising company, is trading at about 60 dollars a share and it has a market valuation of about 2 billion dollars even though it has never made a profit. #8 The stock of local business review website Yelp is up 241 percent this year even though it has never earned a quarterly profit. #9 Fab.com just raised 165 million dollars from investors even though it recently laid off 44o employees. #10 LinkedIn stock has risen in price by 136 percent since the 2011 IPO, and it is now supposedly worth more than 18 billion dollars . #11 The head of engineering at Twitter, Chris Fry, got a 10.3 million dollar pay package when he joined Twitter last year. #12 Facebook's VP of engineering, Mike Schroepfer, earned 24.4 million dollars in 2011. #13 Office rents in San Francisco (where many of these tech companies are based) are now 23 percent higher than they were at the peak of the real estate market in 2008. #14 Facebook stock is up close to 140 percent over the past 12 months and the company is now worth more than 120 billion dollars . And I am certainly not the only one that is concerned that we are repeating the mistakes of the late 1990s... “When you look at valuations and look at the lack of earnings and revenue, it seems to me much like the dot-com bubble,” said Matt McCormick, a money manager at Cincinnati-based Bahl Gaynor Inc. who helps oversee $10.2 billion. “This market looks a little frothy and Twitter is the personification of a risky trade.” In fact, as the Wall Street Journal recently noted , we have seen some of these tech stocks crash more than once during the Internet age... "It's fascinating to me that today's mini-mania includes shares of Amazon, Netflix and Priceline that have previously peaked and crashed before—in some cases they've peaked and crashed twice before," says Darren Pollock, portfolio manager at Cheviot Value Management. "Stocks like these have again captured the imagination of speculators. We're skeptical that there is enough underlying intrinsic value to many of the highfliers to support today's prices." So how long will it be until the current tech bubble implodes?
个人分类: market|20 次阅读|0 个评论
分享 Japan's 2014 Debt Interest Costs Rise 14% To Record $257 Billion, Same As Singap
insight 2013-8-28 12:54
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-08-27/japans-2014-debt-interest-rise-record-257-same-singapore-gdp
个人分类: 日本经济|11 次阅读|0 个评论
分享 2014研究生全要自费了
seesee0731 2013-4-1 18:10
2014研究生全要自费了,一定要考好,多拿点奖金
25 次阅读|0 个评论
分享 迈向2014
迈向2014 2012-12-29 20:17
过去的2012,是末日的走过,是我的悠闲日子的流过,是无知的结束。2013将是奋斗的一年,与考研的紧张接轨。愿与2014年考研的朋友一起分享考研经历,考研的点滴、、、、
个人分类: 研途|0 个评论

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