20180705【充实计划】第758期

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reading material:  Judgment in managerial decision making

Author: Max H.Bazerman & Don A Moore;

Content: chapter 3 common bias had been readed. there are total 11 biases causes by three types of haeuristics. availablity heuristic leads to ease of recall and retrievaility; representative heuristic triggers  insensitivity of base rates, insensitity to sample size, misconception of chance, regression to the mean, the conjection fallacy; confirmation haeuristic causes the confirmation trap, anchoring, conjunctive and disjuncyive events bias, hindsight and the curse of knowledge and overconfidence;

Learning: I had never considered how to make a decision rationally. after reviewing my decision making process, I regarded my decision making is dramatically impacted by system I which is instinctive, and not active in logic process. so think more deeper and identify my default stereotype and control that stereotype to achieve a high quality of decision-making.  

昨天阅读6小时，一共阅读546小时。告诉自己：与其焦虑的思考，不如静心的实干！

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充实每一天 发表于 2018-7-5 07:33
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