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| 文件名: GS 2012 Asia Pacific Outlook.pdf | |
| 资料下载链接地址: https://bbs.pinggu.org/a-1031397.html | |
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12月1号出的关于2012的outlook,有些晚了。大约110页左右
2012 Outlook: Western ills, Asian chills Update: 因为在论坛已有这个report,现在改为免费 贴出目录给需要的朋友: Table of contents Note from the authors 3 Executive summary 4 Implementation 8 Allocation: A conservative start to the year 21 Setting the stage 26 Macro: Global concerns overshadow local fundamentals 28 China: Maintain OW on policy easing and attractive valuations; we assess the probability of a hard landing 39 India: Downgrading to Underweight on macro concerns 45 Earnings: Single-digit growth next year, moderate rebound in 2013 50 Valuation and returns: Near-term risks, subsequent recovery 56 Growth Market Strategy: From GDP growth to equity returns 71 Probing property-related risks in Asia 75 Foreign investor positioning: More domestic, more defensive 79 Events 83 Economic backdrop 85 Australia: A drag from the domestic economy 86 China: Easing into a better place 88 Hong Kong: Headwinds to asset price cycle 90 India: Funding headwinds and cyclical challenges 92 Indonesia: Firm domestic demand outlook, stretched valuations 94 Japan: Cautious note to start, but steady performance overall 96 Korea: Inexpensive, but hindered by global macro weakness 98 Malaysia: Defensive play, safe haven in an uncertain environment 100 Philippines: Valuations not low enough to offset liquidity risk 102 Singapore: Sensitive to the global cycle 104 Taiwan: Global concerns dominate pre-election excitement 106 Thailand: Reconstruction and political uncertainty are the themes 108 |
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