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| 文件名: 门槛模型.doc | |
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use "E:\stata\sample\chap16\案例16.1.dta", clear
. cd E:\STATA12.0\ado\xtptm E:\STATA12.0\ado\xtptm . encode diqu,gen(region) . xtset region year panel variable:region (strongly balanced) time variable:year, 2008 to 2012 delta:1 unit . xtptm profit,rx(sale) thrvar(cost) iters(2000) grid(200) ================ Fundamental information: =================== Number of Regime independent variables: 0 Number of Regime dependent variables: 1 Number of individuals in panel: 20 Number of periods in panel: 5 ================ Ordinary Fixed effect regression: ========= Sum of Squared Residuls: 1.1015 Stardard error of regression: 0.1181 Regression Result(ordinary standard error): ---------------------------------------------------- | Coef Std t Prob ----+----------------------------------------------- 1 | 0.0006 0.0005 1.3678 0.1752 (这里为什么只有一个系数?) ---------------------------------------------------- Regression Result(Robust standard error): (为什么又多了个稳健标准误?有什么作用?) ----------------------------------------------------- | Coef Std_Robust t Prob ----+------------------------------------------------ 1 | 0.0006 0.0004 1.6849 0.0960 ----------------------------------------------------- ================ Single threshold regession: =================== 单门槛回归吗?单是只一个门槛变量还是指一个门槛值? Minimized Sum of Squared Residuals: 0.8822 Standard error of residuals: 0.1064 Threshold estimator: 11.3611 95% conf. intv. of threshold: 11.3274 11.3836 LR Critical value to test gamma=gamma0: 7.3523 (请问这行结果怎么解读?) Threshold regression(Ordinary Std. Error): ---------------------------------------------------- | Coef Std t prob ----+----------------------------------------------- 1 | -0.0001 0.0005 -0.2480 0.8048 2 | 0.0006 0.0004 1.3794 0.1717(系数分别对应到什么变量阿,有常变量吗?) ---------------------------------------------------- Threshold regression(Robust Std. Error): ----------------------------------------------------- | Coef Std_Robust t prob ----+------------------------------------------------ 1 | -0.0001 0.0004 -0.3052 0.7611 2 | 0.0006 0.0003 1.6497 0.1030 ----------------------------------------------------- Note: Critcal (Inverse CDF of LR stat): -2*ln(1-sqrt(1-alpha)) Ho: No threshold; Ha: Single threshold Number of bootstrap:2000 F-stat & Prob: 19.3819 0.0000 F-critical value of 90% 95% 99%: 1 +---------------+ 1 |2.859457574| 2 |4.282186037| 3 |7.315390308| +---------------+ Thresholds in single model: 11.36112623 ============== Descrpitive statistic in each regime: =========== (大神帮忙解释下以下结果) Descriptive statistics of y-X-THR at regime :1 ---------------------------------------------------------------- | Mean Std Min Max Count ----+----------------------------------------------------------- 1 | 10.0823 0.3656 9.2360 10.5545 52 2 | 217.1043 18.9613 138.0000 230.2526 52 3 | 11.0819 0.1916 10.7579 11.3516 52 ---------------------------------------------------------------- Descriptive statistics of y-X-THR at regime :2 ---------------------------------------------------------------- | Mean Std Min Max Count ----+----------------------------------------------------------- 1 | 10.6126 0.9030 9.6125 12.4765 48 2 | 233.6324 41.5348 89.0000 346.0000 48 3 | 11.9187 0.6118 11.3667 13.2804 48 ---------------------------------------------------------------- LR and Thresholds series are stored in Stata matrix: LR# You can observe the scatter plot by: _matplot LR#, columns(1 2) 还有 最后的门槛值是确定了只有一个吗?还是要继续做regime(2),regime(3)阿? |
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