<p><br/></p><p>世界银行（ＷＢ）年度出品，对世界经济进行全面的分析和预测。ｐｄｆ格式，共196页。</p><p>目录</p><p>Foreword xi<br/>Acknowledgments xiii<br/>Abbreviations xv<br/>Overview 1<br/></p><p>Chapter 1 Prospects for the Global Economy 15<br/>Financial markets 19<br/>Outlook for high-income OECD countries 24<br/>Outlook for the developing countries 27<br/>World trade 36<br/>Commodity markets 39<br/>Key risks and uncertainties 45<br/>Long-term prospects and poverty forecast 46<br/></p><p>Chapter 2 The Commodity Boom: Longer-Term Prospects 51<br/>Characteristics of the current commodity price boom 53<br/>The roots of the boom in commodity prices 57<br/>Long-term demand prospects 64<br/>Long-term supply prospects 74<br/>Projections 85<br/>Conclusions 89<br/></p><p>Chapter 3 Dealing with Changing Commodity Prices 95<br/>Commodity dependence and growth 98<br/>Managing primary commodity booms 102<br/>Poverty impacts of higher commodity prices 113<br/>Dealing with high food and fuel prices 121<br/>The international response to high commodity prices 127<br/>Conclusions 131<br/>Technical Annex: Sensitivity Analysis 132<br/></p><p>Appendix: Regional Economic Prospects 141<br/>East Asia and the Pacific 141<br/>Europe and Central Asia 147<br/>Latin America and the Caribbean 153<br/>Middle East and North Africa 159<br/>South Asia 166<br/>Sub-Saharan Africa 171</p>

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