摘要翻译：
基于手机的体育博彩在许多非洲国家迅速流行。评论者担心低能力赌徒不会从经验中吸取教训，可能会依赖债务进行赌博。使用超过5万名肯尼亚智能手机用户的金融交易数据，我们发现赌徒确实从经验中学习。赌徒不太可能在糟糕的结果后下注，而更可能在良好的结果后下注。对正反馈和负反馈的反应是相等的，并符合贝叶斯更新模型。使用工具变量策略，我们发现没有证据表明赌博增加导致债务增加。
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英文标题：
《Gamblers Learn from Experience》
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作者：
Joshua E. Blumenstock, Matthew Olckers
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最新提交年份：
2021
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分类信息：

一级分类：Economics 经济学
二级分类：General Economics 一般经济学
分类描述：General methodological, applied, and empirical contributions to economics.
对经济学的一般方法、应用和经验贡献。
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一级分类：Quantitative Finance 数量金融学
二级分类：Economics 经济学
分类描述：q-fin.EC is an alias for econ.GN. Economics, including micro and macro economics, international economics, theory of the firm, labor economics, and other economic topics outside finance
q-fin.ec是econ.gn的别名。经济学，包括微观和宏观经济学、国际经济学、企业理论、劳动经济学和其他金融以外的经济专题
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英文摘要：
Mobile phone-based sports betting has exploded in popularity in many African countries. Commentators worry that low-ability gamblers will not learn from experience, and may rely on debt to gamble. Using data on financial transactions for over 50 000 Kenyan smartphone users, we find that gamblers do learn from experience. Gamblers are less likely to bet following poor results and more likely to bet following good results. The reaction to positive and negative feedback is of equal magnitude and is consistent with a model of Bayesian updating. Using an instrumental variables strategy, we find no evidence that increased gambling leads to increased debt.
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