英文标题：
《Global pathways to sustainable development to 2030 and beyond》
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作者：
Enayat A. Moallemi, Sibel Eker, Lei Gao, Michalis Hadjikakou, Jan
Kwakkel, Patrick M. Reed, Michael Obersteiner, and Brett A. Bryan
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最新提交年份：
2021
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英文摘要：
Progress to-date towards the UN Agenda 2030 has fallen short of expectations. We undertake a model-based global integrated assessment to project future progress by 2030, 2050, and 2100 and to characterise the transformations needed to deliver the global Sustainable Development Goals and an increasingly ambitious 21st century sustainability agenda. Our results quantify the scale and pace of transformations required through eight key entry points: increasing education access, powering sustainable economic development, controlling global population growth, lowering energy intensity across sectors, decarbonising energy systems, promoting healthy food diets, limiting agricultural land expansion, and reducing global emissions intensity. Our findings indicate many actions that appear to make a limited contribution to initial progress are in fact vital for accelerating change towards sustainable development later in the century.
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中文摘要：
迄今为止，联合国2030年议程的进展低于预期。我们开展基于模型的全球综合评估，以预测2030年、2050年和2100年的未来进展，并描述实现全球可持续发展目标和日益雄心勃勃的21世纪可持续发展议程所需的变革。我们的结果通过八个关键切入点量化了所需转型的规模和速度：增加教育机会、推动可持续经济发展、控制全球人口增长、降低各部门的能源强度、能源系统脱碳、促进健康饮食、限制农业用地扩张和降低全球排放强度。我们的研究结果表明，许多似乎对初步进展贡献有限的行动，实际上对于本世纪晚些时候加速向可持续发展转变至关重要。
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分类信息：

一级分类：Economics 经济学
二级分类：General Economics 一般经济学
分类描述：General methodological, applied, and empirical contributions to economics.
对经济学的一般方法、应用和经验贡献。
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一级分类：Physics 物理学
二级分类：Physics and Society 物理学与社会
分类描述：Structure, dynamics and collective behavior of societies and groups (human or otherwise). Quantitative analysis of social networks and other complex networks. Physics and engineering of infrastructure and systems of broad societal impact (e.g., energy grids, transportation networks).
社会和团体（人类或其他）的结构、动态和集体行为。社会网络和其他复杂网络的定量分析。具有广泛社会影响的基础设施和系统（如能源网、运输网络）的物理和工程。
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一级分类：Quantitative Finance 数量金融学
二级分类：Economics 经济学
分类描述：q-fin.EC is an alias for econ.GN. Economics, including micro and macro economics, international economics, theory of the firm, labor economics, and other economic topics outside finance
q-fin.ec是econ.gn的别名。经济学，包括微观和宏观经济学、国际经济学、企业理论、劳动经济学和其他金融以外的经济专题
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