英文标题：
《A Dynamical Model of the Industrial Economy of the Humber Region》
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作者：
Christopher J.K. Knight, Alexandra S. Penn and Rebecca B. Hoyle
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最新提交年份：
2014
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英文摘要：
The Humber region in the UK is a large and diverse industrial area centred around oil refining, chemical industries and energy production. However there is currently a desire to see the region transition towards a more bio-based economy. New bio-related industries are being situated in the region as a consequence of policy and economic incentives. Many of these industries are connected through their supply chains, either directly, or by sharing common suppliers or customers and the growth or decline of one industry can hence have impacts on many others. Therefore an important question to consider is what effect this movement towards bio-based industry will actually have on the regional economy as a whole. In this paper we develop a general abstract dynamical model for the metabolic interactions of firms or industries. This dynamical model has been applied to the Humber region in order to gain a deeper understanding of how the region may develop. The model suggests that the transition to a bio-based economy will occur with oil refining losing its dominance to bioethanol production and biological chemical production, whilst anaerobic digestion grows as a major source of electricity, in turn driving up the value of regional waste aggregators and arable farming in the overall economy.
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中文摘要：
英国亨伯地区是一个以炼油、化工和能源生产为中心的大型多样化工业区。然而，目前人们希望看到该地区向更以生物为基础的经济转型。由于政策和经济激励，该地区正在建立新的生物相关产业。其中许多行业通过其供应链直接相连，或通过共享共同的供应商或客户而相连，因此一个行业的增长或衰退可能会对其他许多行业产生影响。因此，需要考虑的一个重要问题是，这场向生物产业发展的运动将对整个区域经济产生什么样的影响。在本文中，我们为企业或行业的代谢相互作用建立了一个通用的抽象动力学模型。该动力学模型已应用于亨伯地区，以便更深入地了解该地区可能如何发展。该模型表明，向生物经济的过渡将随着炼油失去其对生物乙醇生产和生物化工生产的主导地位，而厌氧消化将成为主要的电力来源，进而推动区域废物收集站和耕地在整体经济中的价值。
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分类信息：

一级分类：Quantitative Finance 数量金融学
二级分类：Economics 经济学
分类描述：q-fin.EC is an alias for econ.GN. Economics, including micro and macro economics, international economics, theory of the firm, labor economics, and other economic topics outside finance
q-fin.ec是econ.gn的别名。经济学，包括微观和宏观经济学、国际经济学、企业理论、劳动经济学和其他金融以外的经济专题
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