英文标题：
《A biased view of a few possible components when reflecting on the
present decade financial and economic crisis》
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作者：
Marcel Ausloos
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最新提交年份：
2014
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英文摘要：
Is the present economic and financial crisis similar to some previous one? It would be so nice to prove that universality laws exist for predicting such rare events under a minimum set of realistic hypotheses. First, I briefly recall whether patterns, like business cycles, are indeed found, and can be modeled within a statistical physics, or econophysics, framework. I point to a simulation model for describing such so called business cycles, under exo- and endo-genous conditions I discuss self-organized and provoked crashes and their predictions. I emphasize the role of an of- ten forgotten ingredient: the time delay in the information flow. I wonder about the information content of financial data, its mis-interpretation and market manipulation.
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中文摘要：
当前的经济和金融危机与前一次类似吗？如果能证明在一组最小的现实假设下，预测这种罕见事件的普遍性定律是存在的，那就太好了。首先，我简要回顾了模式，比如商业周期，是否真的被发现了，是否可以在统计物理学或经济物理学框架内建模。我指出了一个用于描述这种所谓的商业周期的模拟模型，在外部和内部条件下，我讨论了自组织和引发的崩溃及其预测。我强调十个被遗忘因素中的一个作用：信息流中的时间延迟。我想知道金融数据的信息内容、错误解读和市场操纵。
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分类信息：

一级分类：Quantitative Finance 数量金融学
二级分类：General Finance 一般财务
分类描述：Development of general quantitative methodologies with applications in finance
通用定量方法的发展及其在金融中的应用
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一级分类：Physics 物理学
二级分类：Physics and Society 物理学与社会
分类描述：Structure, dynamics and collective behavior of societies and groups (human or otherwise). Quantitative analysis of social networks and other complex networks. Physics and engineering of infrastructure and systems of broad societal impact (e.g., energy grids, transportation networks).
社会和团体（人类或其他）的结构、动态和集体行为。社会网络和其他复杂网络的定量分析。具有广泛社会影响的基础设施和系统（如能源网、运输网络）的物理和工程。
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一级分类：Quantitative Finance 数量金融学
二级分类：Economics 经济学
分类描述：q-fin.EC is an alias for econ.GN. Economics, including micro and macro economics, international economics, theory of the firm, labor economics, and other economic topics outside finance
q-fin.ec是econ.gn的别名。经济学，包括微观和宏观经济学、国际经济学、企业理论、劳动经济学和其他金融以外的经济专题
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