英文标题：
《How crude oil prices shape the global division of labour》
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作者：
Francesco Picciolo, Andreas Papandreou, Klaus Hubacek and Franco
Ruzzenenti
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最新提交年份：
2016
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英文摘要：
Our work sheds new light on the role of oil prices in shaping the world economy by investigating flows of goods and services through global value chains between 1960 and 2011, by means of Markov Chain and network analysis. We show that over that time period the international division of labor and trade patterns are tightly linked to the price of oil. We demonstrate that this correlation does not depend on the balance of payments nor on the nominal value of trade or trade agreements; it is instead linked to the way the Global Value Chains (GVCs) shape global trade. Our study suggests that transport played an important structural role in shaping GVCs.
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中文摘要：
我们的工作通过马尔可夫链和网络分析，对1960年至2011年间全球价值链中的商品和服务流动进行了调查，为油价在塑造世界经济中的作用提供了新的视角。我们表明，在这段时间里，国际分工和贸易模式与石油价格密切相关。我们证明，这种相关性既不取决于国际收支，也不取决于贸易或贸易协定的名义价值；相反，它与全球价值链（GVC）塑造全球贸易的方式有关。我们的研究表明，运输在塑造全球价值链中起着重要的结构性作用。
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分类信息：

一级分类：Physics 物理学
二级分类：Physics and Society 物理学与社会
分类描述：Structure, dynamics and collective behavior of societies and groups (human or otherwise). Quantitative analysis of social networks and other complex networks. Physics and engineering of infrastructure and systems of broad societal impact (e.g., energy grids, transportation networks).
社会和团体（人类或其他）的结构、动态和集体行为。社会网络和其他复杂网络的定量分析。具有广泛社会影响的基础设施和系统（如能源网、运输网络）的物理和工程。
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一级分类：Quantitative Finance 数量金融学
二级分类：General Finance 一般财务
分类描述：Development of general quantitative methodologies with applications in finance
通用定量方法的发展及其在金融中的应用
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