英文标题：
《Econo- and socio- physics based remarks on the economical growth of the
World》
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作者：
Rzoska Agata Angelika
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最新提交年份：
2016
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英文摘要：
It has been shown that the long term evolution of the Gross Product of the World after World War II can be well portrayed by the exponential function with the crossover at the year 1973, cinsiding with the Oil Crisis onset. For the the Standard and Poor 500 index the single exponential behavior extends down to at least the mid of the nineteen century. It is notable that the detailed short-term insight focused on the last quarter of century revealed the emergence of the power like dependence. However, such dependences can be introduced only when taking into account the behavior at reference-baselines years. The possible relationship to the growth/death evolution of microorganisms is also discussed. The report proposes the new discussion of the past and nowadays time of the global economy. It recalls econonophysics and sociophysics as disciplines within which the effective parameterization of trends is possible. Finally, possible future trends are discussed.
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中文摘要：
研究表明，1973年，随着石油危机的爆发，指数函数可以很好地描述二战后世界总产值的长期演变。标准普尔500指数的单指数行为至少可以追溯到19世纪中期。值得注意的是，聚焦于本世纪最后25年的详细短期观察揭示了权力式依赖的出现。然而，只有在考虑参考基准年的行为时，才能引入这种依赖关系。还讨论了与微生物生长/死亡进化的可能关系。报告对全球经济的过去和现在进行了新的讨论。它回顾了经济物理学和社会物理学，认为在这些学科中，趋势的有效参数化是可能的。最后，讨论了未来可能的发展趋势。
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分类信息：

一级分类：Quantitative Finance 数量金融学
二级分类：General Finance 一般财务
分类描述：Development of general quantitative methodologies with applications in finance
通用定量方法的发展及其在金融中的应用
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一级分类：Physics 物理学
二级分类：Popular Physics 大众物理学
分类描述：Description coming soon
描述即将到来
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