英文标题：
《The Postulate of the Three Regimes of Economic Growth Contradicted by
Data》
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作者：
Ron W Nielsen
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最新提交年份：
2016
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英文摘要：
Economic growth in Western Europe, Eastern Europe, Asia, countries of the former USSR, Africa and Latin America were analysed. It is demonstrated that the fundamental postulate of the Unified Growth Theory about the existence of the three regimes of growth (Malthusian regime, post-Malthusian regime and sustained-growth regime) is contradicted by data. These regimes did not exist. In particular, there was no escape from the Malthusian trap because there was no trap. Economic growth in all these regions was not stagnant but hyperbolic. Unified Growth Theory is fundamentally incorrect. However, this theory is also dangerously misleading because it claims a transition from the endless epoch of stagnation to the new era of sustained economic growth, the interpretation creating the sense of security and a promise of prosperity. The data show that the opposite is true. Economic growth in the past was sustained and secure. Now, it is supported by the increasing ecological deficit. The long-term sustained and secure economic growth has yet to be created. It did not happen automatically, as suggested incorrectly by the Unified Growth Theory.
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中文摘要：
分析了西欧、东欧、亚洲、前苏联国家、非洲和拉丁美洲的经济增长情况。研究表明，统一增长理论关于三种增长机制（马尔萨斯体制、后马尔萨斯体制和持续增长体制）存在的基本假设与数据相矛盾。这些政权并不存在。特别是，由于没有陷阱，马尔萨斯陷阱无法逃脱。所有这些地区的经济增长都不是停滞的，而是双曲线的。统一增长理论从根本上是错误的。然而，这一理论也具有危险的误导性，因为它声称要从无休止的停滞时代过渡到持续经济增长的新时代，这种解释创造了安全感和繁荣前景。数据显示，情况正好相反。过去的经济增长是持续和安全的。现在，它得到了不断增加的生态赤字的支持。长期持续、安全的经济增长尚未形成。正如统一增长理论错误地指出的那样，这并不是自动发生的。
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分类信息：

一级分类：Quantitative Finance 数量金融学
二级分类：Economics 经济学
分类描述：q-fin.EC is an alias for econ.GN. Economics, including micro and macro economics, international economics, theory of the firm, labor economics, and other economic topics outside finance
q-fin.ec是econ.gn的别名。经济学，包括微观和宏观经济学、国际经济学、企业理论、劳动经济学和其他金融以外的经济专题
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