英文标题：
《Application of Differential Equations in Projecting Growth Trajectories》
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作者：
Ron W. Nielsen
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最新提交年份：
2017
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英文摘要：
Mathematical method based on a direct or indirect analysis of growth rates is described. It is shown how simple assumptions and a relatively easy analysis can be used to describe mathematically complicated trends and to predict growth. Only rudimentary knowledge of calculus is required. Projected trajectories based on such simple initial assumptions are easier to accept and to understand than alternative complicated projections based on more complicated assumptions and on more intricate computational procedures. Examples of the growth of population and of the growth of the Gross Domestic Product are used to illustrate the application of this method of forecasting.
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中文摘要：
描述了基于直接或间接增长率分析的数学方法。本文展示了如何使用简单的假设和相对简单的分析来描述数学上复杂的趋势和预测增长。只需要微积分的基本知识。基于此类简单初始假设的投影轨迹比基于更复杂假设和更复杂计算程序的备选复杂投影更容易接受和理解。用人口增长和国内生产总值增长的例子来说明这种预测方法的应用。
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分类信息：

一级分类：Quantitative Finance 数量金融学
二级分类：General Finance 一般财务
分类描述：Development of general quantitative methodologies with applications in finance
通用定量方法的发展及其在金融中的应用
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