英文标题：
《Detecting p-hacking》
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作者：
Graham Elliott, Nikolay Kudrin, Kaspar Wuthrich
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最新提交年份：
2021
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英文摘要：
We theoretically analyze the problem of testing for $p$-hacking based on distributions of $p$-values across multiple studies. We provide general results for when such distributions have testable restrictions (are non-increasing) under the null of no $p$-hacking. We find novel additional testable restrictions for $p$-values based on $t$-tests. Specifically, the shape of the power functions results in both complete monotonicity as well as bounds on the distribution of $p$-values. These testable restrictions result in more powerful tests for the null hypothesis of no $p$-hacking. When there is also publication bias, our tests are joint tests for $p$-hacking and publication bias. A reanalysis of two prominent datasets shows the usefulness of our new tests.
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中文摘要：
我们从理论上分析了基于跨多个研究的$p$值分布的$p$黑客测试问题。我们提供了在无$p$-黑客攻击为空的情况下，此类发行版具有可测试限制（非递增）的一般结果。我们发现了基于$t$测试的$p$值的新的额外可测试限制。具体而言，幂函数的形状导致完全单调性以及$p$-值分布的界。这些可测试的限制导致对无美元黑客攻击的无效假设进行更有力的测试。当存在出版偏见时，我们的测试是针对$p$-黑客攻击和出版偏见的联合测试。对两个重要数据集的再分析显示了我们新测试的有用性。
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分类信息：

一级分类：Economics 经济学
二级分类：Econometrics 计量经济学
分类描述：Econometric Theory, Micro-Econometrics, Macro-Econometrics, Empirical Content of Economic Relations discovered via New Methods, Methodological Aspects of the Application of Statistical Inference to Economic Data.
计量经济学理论，微观计量经济学，宏观计量经济学，通过新方法发现的经济关系的实证内容，统计推论应用于经济数据的方法论方面。
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一级分类：Economics 经济学
二级分类：General Economics 一般经济学
分类描述：General methodological, applied, and empirical contributions to economics.
对经济学的一般方法、应用和经验贡献。
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一级分类：Quantitative Finance 数量金融学
二级分类：Economics 经济学
分类描述：q-fin.EC is an alias for econ.GN. Economics, including micro and macro economics, international economics, theory of the firm, labor economics, and other economic topics outside finance
q-fin.ec是econ.gn的别名。经济学，包括微观和宏观经济学、国际经济学、企业理论、劳动经济学和其他金融以外的经济专题
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