Effects of China's WTO accession on global forest product trade.
作者:Gan, Jianbang1 j-gan@silva.tamu.edu来源:Forest Policy & Economics; Oct2004, Vol. 6 Issue 6, p509-519, 11p文献类型:Article主题语:*INTERNATIONAL trade*WORLD Trade Organization*TRADE regulation地理术语:CHINA作者提供的关键字:Computable general equilibriumForest products industriesNon-tariff trade barriers
Tariffs公司/实体:WORLD Trade Organization NAICS/Industry Codes :522293 International Trade Financing摘要:As one of the world''s fastest growing economies and important forest product markets, China has recently become a member of the World Trade Organization (WTO) with commitments to further opening its markets to the world. This study analyzes the effects of China''s entry into the WTO on global forest product trade using a computable general equilibrium model. Two scenarios are analyzed: (1) unilateral trade liberalization by China resulting from its WTO accession and (2) combination of China''s trade liberalization with the Uruguay Round (UR). Our results indicate that China''s accession to the WTO would significantly increase its imports of forest products and reduce its domestic market prices of lumber and wood products as well as pulp, paper, and allied products. Most of Chinese new imports would be used as intermediate goods by industries to produce final products for domestic consumption and re-export. The Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) and the Asian New Industrializing Economies would benefit most from the unilateral trade liberalization by China. The combination of China''s WTO accession and the UR would strengthen the competitiveness of North America and the European Union in Chinese forest product markets. Although China''s accession to the WTO would affect forest product trade flows between China and its trade partners, it would have relatively small impacts on the world price, production, and trade value of forest products. [Copyright 2004 Elsevier]Copyright of Forest Policy & Economics is the property of Elsevier Science Publishing Company, Inc. and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
作者单位:1Department of Forest Science, 2135 TAMU, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX 77843-2135, USAISSN:1389-9341DOI:10.1016/S1389-9341(02)00118-1