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| 文件名: Investment Daily_citi.pdf | |
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【出版时间及名称】:Investment Daily 2010/6/1
【作者】:city 【文件格式】:pdf 【页数】:30页 【目录或简介】: Top Calls Asia ex Strategy — Markets Down, Opportunities Up Decreasing the underweight in real estate — Real estate has been one of our biggest underweights, as real estate appeared to offer little value and was vulnerable to a stronger US dollar and to tightening measures. Valuations have since come down to more attractive levels; we have already seen tightening; and the sector now looks exceedingly oversold. As such we are beginning to venture cautiously back into the sector. Key risks: excessive regulatory and monetary tightening and hence further erosion of NAV. p3 Markus Rosgen Kimchi Discovery #51 — Fundamentally Cheap But … KOSPI target lowered to 1850 (from1970) — North Korea, European sovereign debt, global unemployment, and a China policy dilemma − the risks mount and the solutions will not be quick or easy. Our new KOSPI target of 1850 would mean a 9% return in 2010, at the low end of our 9-14% target for Asia overall. p4 Michael S Chung China Property — LAT Just A Start; More Measures Likely On Developers Ahead Strict implementation and settlement of LAT — Last week the China State Administration of Taxation made a notice on the relevant problems in “Land Appreciation Tax (LAT) settlement”, which include: 1) Urge local governments to make sure developers settle LAT; and 2) Give detailed explanations and definitions on several key areas in LAT calculation such as property sales recognition and deductable expenses items in LAT calculation etc. p5 Oscar Choi India Macro Flash — The Government Revised FY10 GDP up to 7.4%; We Maintain Our FY11 and FY12 Estimates of 8.4% and 8.6% CSO Revises FY10 GDP to 7.4% from 7.2% — The release of the 4QFY10 GDP data, which pegged growth at 8.6% (Consensus: 8.6%; Citi: 8.3%) and upward revisions to 1Q, 2Q and 3QFY10 GDP resulted in the government’s advance GDP estimates being revised up to 7.4% from 7.2% estimated earlier. The headline revision to 7.4% was due to (i) Upward revisions in Agriculture to 0.2% from -0.2% and Industry to 9.3% from 8.2% and (ii) Downward revision to Services to 8.5% from 8.7%. p6 Rohini Malkani |
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