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| 文件名: !Applied Choice Analysis A Primer.pdf | |
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论坛里有该书的一个帖子,但是给出的却是外部链接,而且无效。在这里重发一下,是我下载好的。
书名:Applied Choice Analysis A Primer 作者:David A. Hensher The University of Sydney John M. Rose The University of Sydney William H. Greene New York University 出版社:Cambridge University Press 详细目录:Part I Basic topics 1 In the beginning 3 2 Basic notions of statistics 8 2.1 Introduction 8 2.2 Data 8 2.2.1 The importance of understanding data 10 2.3 A note on mathematical notation 10 2.3.1 Summation 11 2.3.2 Product 12 2.4 Probability 12 2.4.1 Relative frequencies 13 2.4.2 Defining random variables 14 2.4.3 Probability distribution functions 14 2.4.4 Cumulative distribution functions 16 2.4.5 Multivariate probability density functions 17 2.4.6 The multivariate probability function 18 2.4.7 Marginal probability density functions 21 2.4.8 Conditional probability density functions 21 2.4.9 Defining statistical independence 23 2.5 Properties of random variables 23 2.5.1 Expected value 25 2.5.1.1 Properties of expected values 26 2.5.2 Variance 28 2.5.2.1 Properties of variance 28 v vi Contents 2.5.3 Covariance 30 2.5.3.1 Properties of covariance 31 2.5.4 The variance–covariance matrix 32 2.5.5 Correlation 33 2.5.5.1 Properties of the correlation coefficient 34 2.5.6 Correlation and variances 36 2.6 Sample population statistics 36 2.6.1 The sample mean 36 2.6.2 The sample variance 38 2.6.3 The sample covariance 38 2.6.4 The sample correlation coefficient 39 2.7 Sampling error and sampling distributions 39 2.8 Hypothesis testing 41 2.8.1 Defining the null and alternative hypotheses 42 2.8.2 Selecting the test-statistic 44 2.8.3 Significance of the test and alpha 45 2.8.4 Performing the test 51 2.8.5 Example hypothesis test: the one sample t -test 51 2.9 Matrix algebra 52 2.9.1 Transposition 53 2.9.2 Matrix addition and subtraction 53 2.9.3 Matrix multiplication by a scalar 54 2.9.4 Matrix multiplication 54 2.9.5 Determinants of matrices 55 2.9.6 The identity matrix 56 2.9.7 The inverse of a matrix 57 2.9.8 Linear and quadratic forms 58 2.9.9 Positive definite and negative definite matrices 59 2.10 Conclusion 59 Appendix 2A Measures of correlation or similarity 59 3 Choosing 62 3.1 Introduction 62 3.2 Individuals have preferences, and they count 63 3.3 Using knowledge of preferences and constraints in choice analysis 71 3.4 Setting up a behavioral choice rule 74 3.5 Deriving a basic choice model 82 3.6 Concluding overview 86 4 Paradigms of choice data 88 4.1 Introduction 88 4.2 Data consistent with choice 89 4.3 Revealed preference data 92 4.3.1 Choice-based sampling 95 Contents vii 4.4 Stated preference (or stated choice) data 96 4.5 Further comparisons 97 4.6 Why not use both RP and SP data? 98 4.7 Socio-demographic characteristic data 98 5 Processes in setting up stated choice experiments 100 5.1 Introduction 100 5.2 What is an experimental design? 100 5.2.1 Stage 1: Problem definition refinement 103 5.2.2 Stage 2: Stimuli refinement 104 5.2.2.1 Refining the list of alternatives 104 5.2.2.2 Refining the list of attributes and attribute levels 105 5.2.3 Stage 3: Experimental design considerations 109 5.2.3.1 Labeled versus unlabeled experiments 112 5.2.3.2 Reducing the number of levels 114 5.2.3.3 Reducing the size of experimental designs 115 5.2.3.4 Dummy and effects coding 119 5.2.3.5 Calculating the degrees of freedom required 122 5.2.3.6 Blocking the design 126 5.2.4 Stage 4: Generating experimental designs 127 5.2.4.1 Assigning an attribute as a blocking variable 130 5.2.5 Stage 5: Allocating attributes to design columns 131 5.3 A note on unlabeled experimental designs 150 5.4 Optimal designs 152 Appendix 5A Designing nested attributes 154 Appendix 5B Assignment of quantitative attribute-level labels 156 6 Choices in data collection 161 6.1 Introduction 161 6.2 General survey instrument construction 161 6.3 Questionnaires for choice data 166 6.3.1 Stage 6: Generation of choice sets 166 6.3.2 Stage 7: Randomizing choice sets 170 6.3.3 Stage 8: Survey construction 172 6.3.3.1 Choice context 173 6.3.3.2 Use an example 174 6.3.3.3 Independence of choice sets 174 6.3.3.4 More than one choice 175 6.3.3.5 The no-choice or delay-choice alternative 176 6.4 Revealed preferences in questionnaires 177 6.5 Studies involving both RP and SP data 177 6.6 Using RP data in SP experiments: the “current alternative” 178 6.7 Sampling for choice data: the theory 184 6.7.1 Simple random samples 185 viii Contents 6.7.2 Stratified random sampling 190 6.7.3 Conclusion to the theory of calculating sample sizes 192 6.8 Sampling for choice data: the reality 193 7 NLOGIT for applied choice analysis: a primer 197 7.1 Introduction 197 7.2 About the software 197 7.2.1 About NLOGIT 197 7.2.2 About NLOGIT/ACA 198 7.2.3 Installing NLOGIT/ACA 198 7.3 Starting NLOGIT/ACA and exiting after a session 198 7.3.1 Starting the program 198 7.3.2 Inputting the data 198 7.3.3 Reading data 200 7.3.4 The project file 200 7.3.5 Leaving your session 201 7.4 Using NLOGIT 201 7.5 How to get NLOGIT to do what you want 202 7.5.1 Using the Text Editor 202 7.5.2 Command format 204 7.5.3 Commands 205 7.5.4 Using the Project File Box 206 7.6 Useful hints and tips 206 7.6.1 Limitations in NLOGIT (and NLOGIT/ACA) 207 7.7 NLOGIT software 207 7.7.1 Support 208 7.7.2 The program installed on your computer 208 7.7.3 Using NLOGIT/ACA in the remainder of the book 208 Appendix 7A Diagnostic and error messages 208 8 Handling choice data 218 8.1 Introduction 218 8.2 The basic data setup 219 8.2.1 Entering multiple data sets: stacking and melding 222 8.2.2 Handling data on the non-chosen alternative in RP data 222 8.2.3 Combining sources of data 224 8.2.4 Weighting on an exogenous variable 226 8.2.5 Handling rejection: the “no option” 227 8.3 Entering data into NLOGIT 230 8.3.1 Entering data directly into NLOGIT 230 8.3.2 Importing data into NLOGIT 232 8.3.2.1 The Text/Document Editor 232 8.3.3 Reading data into NLOGIT 232 8.3.4 Writing data into NLOGIT 235 8.3.5 Saving data sets 235 Contents ix 8.3.6 Loading data into NLOGIT 236 8.3.6.1 Changing the maximum default size of the Data Editor 236 8.4 Data entered into a single line 237 8.5 Data cleaning 241 8.5.1 Testing for multicollinearity using NLOGIT 246 Appendix 8A Design effects coding 248 Appendix 8B Converting single-line data commands 250 9 Case study: mode-choice data 254 9.1 Introduction 254 9.2 Study objectives 254 9.3 The pilot study 256 9.3.1 Pilot sample collection 263 9.3.1.1 Interviewer briefing 263 9.3.1.2 Interviewing 264 9.3.1.3 Analysis of contacts 264 9.3.1.4 Interviewer debriefing 265 9.4 The main survey 265 9.4.1 The mode-choice experiment 267 9.4.1.1 Detailed description of attributes 274 9.4.1.2 Using the showcards 276 9.4.2 RP data 276 9.4.3 The household questionnaire 277 9.4.4 The commuter questionnaire 277 9.4.5 The sample 278 9.4.5.1 Screening respondents 282 9.4.5.2 Interviewer briefing 283 9.4.5.3 Interviewing 283 9.4.5.4 Analysis of total contacts 283 9.4.5.5 Questionnaire check edit 284 9.4.5.6 Coding and check edit 284 9.4.5.7 Data entry 286 9.4.5.8 SPSS setup 286 9.5 The case study data 286 9.5.1 Formatting data in NLOGIT 289 9.5.2 Getting to know and cleaning the data 292 Appendix 9A The contextual statement associated with the travel choice experiment 296 Appendix 9B Mode-choice case study data dictionary 298 Appendix 9C Mode-choice case study variable labels 302 10 Getting started modeling: the basic MNL model 308 10.1 Introduction 308 10.2 Modeling choice in NLOGIT: the MNL command 308 x Contents 10.3 Interpreting the MNL model output 316 10.3.1 Maximum likelihood estimation 317 10.3.2 Determining the sample size and weighting criteria used 323 10.3.3 Interpreting the number of iterations to model convergence 324 10.3.4 Determining overall model significance 326 10.3.5 Comparing two models 335 10.3.6 Determining model fit: the pseudo-R2 337 10.3.7 Type of response and bad data 339 10.3.8 Obtaining estimates of the indirect utility functions 339 10.3.8.1 Matrix: LastDsta/LastOutput 343 10.4 Interpreting parameters for effects and dummy coded variables 344 10.5 Handling interactions in choice models 352 10.6 Measures of willingness to pay 357 10.7 Obtaining choice probabilities for the sample 360 10.8 Obtaining the utility estimates for the sample 366 Appendix 10A Handling unlabelled experiments 371 11 Getting more from your model 374 12 Practical issues in the application of choice models 437 Part II Advanced topics 13 Allowing for similarity of alternatives 479 14 Nested logit estimation 518 15 The mixed logit model 605 16 Mixed logit estimation 623 由于字数限制,后面几章详细目录略去了。 |
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