JPMorgan's Eligible Gold Plummets 65% In 24 Hours To All Time Low Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/25/2013 17:30 -0400 We are confident that in the aftermath of our article from last night " Just What Is Going On With The Gold In JPMorgan's Vault ?" in which we showed the absolute devastation of "eligible" (aka commercial) gold warehoused in JPM's vault just over the Manhattan bedrock at 1 Chase Manhattan Place (and also in the entire Comex vault network in the past month), we were not the only ones checking every five minutes for the Comex gold depository update for April 25 . Moments ago we finally got it, and it's a doozy. Because in just the past 24 hours, from April 24 to April 25, according to the Comex, JPM's eligible gold plunged from 402.4K ounces to just 141.6K ounces, a drop of 65% in 24 hours,and the lowest amount of eligible gold held at the vault on record, since its reopening in October 2010 ! Everyone has seen what a run on the bank looks like. Below is perhaps the best chart of what a " run on the vault " is. The absolute collapse in JPM's eligible gold inventory, means total Comex eligible gold has fallen to just 5.8 million ounces, half of what it was in early 2011, and back to levels last seen in March 2009. So, once again, just like last night, we ask the same questions which are even more critical today than they were 24 hours ago: What happened to the commercial gold vaulted with JPM, and what was the reason for the historic drawdown? Gold, unlike fiat, is not created out of thin air, nor can it be shred or deleted. Where did the gold leaving the JPM warehouse end up (especially since registered JPM and total Comex gold has been relatively flat over the same period)? Did any of this gold make its way across the street, and end up at the vault of the building located at 33 Liberty street? What happens if and/or when the JPM vault is empty of commercial gold, and JPM receives a delivery notice? Incidentally, JPM now has just under a paltry 5 tons of eligible gold left in storage. We hope this is also the maximum exposure it faces for imminent delivery requests, because if tomorrow it receives withdrawal requests for 141,581.5 ounces +1 , then things get really interesting. Average: 4.929825 Your rating: None Average: 4.9 ( 57 votes)
September Retail Sales: Seasonal vs Non-Seasonal - Spot The Difference Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/15/2012 09:31 -0400 Great Depression St Louis Fed Just when we thought we may finally get one decent economic data point which even we could get excited about, we decided to look at the Non-Seasonally Adjusted September retail sales data. After all the $4.7 billion seasonal increase in headline retail sales was the second highest ever (in absolute terms, second only to 2004). Turns out our curiosity was an enthusiasm-dowsing mistake, as a number which on the surface looked good, was hardly validated by the Not-Seasonally Adjusted number, which plunged by $31.9 billion . How does this September sequential change compare to previous years? See the chart below and decide for yourselves if the massive NSA plunge in September 2012 merits the second best seasonally adjusted retail sales increase in history. If anything, the 2012 spread of SA vs NSA retail change is most comparable to that from September 2007. As a reminder, this is 2 months before the 2nd Great Depression officially started. Source: St Louis Fed Average: 4.285715 Your rating: None Average: 4.3 ( 7 votes) Tweet Login or register to post comments 9960 reads Printer-friendly version Send to friend Similar Articles You Might Enjoy: Is It The Weather, Stupid? David Rosenberg On What "April In January" Means For Seasonal Adjustments Initial Claims In Holiday Shortened Week Drop To 350K From Upward Revised 376K Due To "One-Time Factors" Seasonal Adjustments: Big Swing Factor? Retail Sales Beat Expectations, As Empire Index Misses, Negative For Third Month In A Row The Strangest Number In Today's Jobs Number