请教大家,我用stata做时间序列模型的ols估计,结果很显著,但是做协整检验的时候,残差序列ADF单位根检验不是0阶平稳,这是否说明我是伪回归了?请问可以对e进行一阶差分吗?以下是我的结果,已经弄整齐了,请高人指点 我下一步该怎么做啊??谢谢了!!
reg ln_export ln_fixcapital_accumulation ln_under_senior ln_college_above ln_goodtrade OPEN ln_citylize ln_gdp_riserate,noc
Source SS df MS Number of obs = 24
F( 7, 17) = .
Model 5918.00353 7 845.429076 Prob > F = 0.0000
Residual .041311523 17 .00243009 R-squared = 1.0000
Adj R-squared = 1.0000
Total 5918.04484 24 246.585202 Root MSE = .0493
ln_export Coef. Std. Err. t P>t [95% Conf. Interval]
ln_fixcapi~n .7619936 .1525851 4.99 0.000 .4400672 1.08392
ln_under_s~r -.2663643 .065236 -4.08 0.001 -.4040003 -.1287284
ln_college~e .2624672 .0847262 3.10 0.007 .0837106 .4412238
ln_goodtrade .3930013 .0832923 4.72 0.000 .2172699 .5687327
OPEN .0335759 .006978 4.81 0.000 .0188535 .0482982
ln_citylize -1.812238 .6375594 -2.84 0.011 -3.157371 -.4671052
ln_gdp_ris~e .1138102 .0504927 2.25 0.038 .0072798 .2203406
. predict y
(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(1 missing value generated)
. dfuller y
Dickey-Fuller test for unit root Number of obs = 22
---------- Interpolated Dickey-Fuller ---------
Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical
Statistic Value Value Value
Z(t) -1.349 -3.750 -3.000 -2.630
MacKinnon approximate p-value for Z(t) = 0.6065
另外,为什么回归的时候 加常数项 和不加常数项 有的变量会从不显著变显著?
小女子拜谢!!



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