摘要翻译:
运输部门正经历前所未有的混乱。在上个世纪的大部分时间里,以内燃机为动力的私人汽车一直是主要的客运方式。然而,最近交通技术和服务的进步,如自动驾驶汽车的发展、共享移动服务的出现,以及替代燃料汽车技术的商业化,有望彻底改变人类的出行方式。其含义是深远的:一些人预言了依赖私人汽车的西方社会的终结,另一些人则预示着比以往任何时候都更大的郊区化。如果交通运输系统要满足不同人口群体当前和未来的需要,并满足短期和长期的社会目标,我们就必须理解影响个人行为的许多因素。本章介绍最有可能破坏运输部门现行做法的技术和服务。我们回顾了过去的研究,这些研究检查了当前和未来对这些新技术和服务的需求,以及它们对现有流动模式可能产生的短期和长期影响。最后,我们总结了这些新技术和服务对移动未来的意义。
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英文标题:
《Understanding consumer demand for new transport technologies and
services, and implications for the future of mobility》
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作者:
Akshay Vij
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最新提交年份:
2019
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分类信息:
一级分类:Economics 经济学
二级分类:General Economics 一般经济学
分类描述:General methodological, applied, and empirical contributions to economics.
对经济学的一般方法、应用和经验贡献。
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一级分类:Quantitative Finance 数量金融学
二级分类:Economics 经济学
分类描述:q-fin.EC is an alias for econ.GN. Economics, including micro and macro economics, international economics, theory of the firm, labor economics, and other economic topics outside finance
q-fin.ec是econ.gn的别名。经济学,包括微观和宏观经济学、国际经济学、企业理论、劳动经济学和其他金融以外的经济专题
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英文摘要:
The transport sector is witnessing unprecedented levels of disruption. Privately owned cars that operate on internal combustion engines have been the dominant modes of passenger transport for much of the last century. However, recent advances in transport technologies and services, such as the development of autonomous vehicles, the emergence of shared mobility services, and the commercialization of alternative fuel vehicle technologies, promise to revolutionise how humans travel. The implications are profound: some have predicted the end of private car dependent Western societies, others have portended greater suburbanization than has ever been observed before. If transport systems are to fulfil current and future needs of different subpopulations, and satisfy short and long-term societal objectives, it is imperative that we comprehend the many factors that shape individual behaviour. This chapter introduces the technologies and services most likely to disrupt prevailing practices in the transport sector. We review past studies that have examined current and future demand for these new technologies and services, and their likely short and long-term impacts on extant mobility patterns. We conclude with a summary of what these new technologies and services might mean for the future of mobility.
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PDF链接:
https://arxiv.org/pdf/1904.05554