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雷达卡
摘要翻译：
我们发现，英国对城市和小地区的“地方封锁”，侧重于限制一个家庭可以与多少人互动以及在什么环境下互动，可以有效地扭转新冠肺炎阳性病例上升的趋势。然而，通过专注于家庭内部的家庭混合，这些地方封锁并没有造成2020年3月第一波病毒和第一次全国封锁发生时观察到的消费大幅下降。我们的研究利用了一个新的实时交易级消费数据来源，我们表明这些数据与官方统计数据高度相关。应用差异中的差异方法评估本地锁定的有效性，该方法利用不受本地锁定的附近地区作为比较组。我们的发现表明，政策制定者可能能够在不扼杀当地经济的情况下遏制病毒爆发。然而，当地封锁的最终有效性预计将高度依赖于地区间的协调和有效的测试系统。
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英文标题：
《The English Patient: Evaluating Local Lockdowns Using Real-Time COVID-19
& Consumption Data》
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作者：
John Gathergood, Benedict Guttman-Kenney
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最新提交年份：
2021
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分类信息：
一级分类：Economics 经济学
二级分类：General Economics 一般经济学
分类描述：General methodological, applied, and empirical contributions to economics.
对经济学的一般方法、应用和经验贡献。
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一级分类：Quantitative Finance 数量金融学
二级分类：Economics 经济学
分类描述：q-fin.EC is an alias for econ.GN. Economics, including micro and macro economics, international economics, theory of the firm, labor economics, and other economic topics outside finance
q-fin.ec是econ.gn的别名。经济学，包括微观和宏观经济学、国际经济学、企业理论、劳动经济学和其他金融以外的经济专题
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英文摘要：
We find UK 'local lockdowns' of cities and small regions, focused on limiting how many people a household can interact with and in what settings, are effective in turning the tide on rising positive COVID-19 cases. Yet, by focusing on household mixing within the home, these local lockdowns have not inflicted the large declines in consumption observed in March 2020 when the first virus wave and first national lockdown occurred. Our study harnesses a new source of real-time, transaction-level consumption data that we show to be highly correlated with official statistics. The effectiveness of local lockdowns are evaluated applying a difference-in-difference approach which exploits nearby localities not subject to local lockdowns as comparison groups. Our findings indicate that policymakers may be able to contain virus outbreaks without killing local economies. However, the ultimate effectiveness of local lockdowns is expected to be highly dependent on co-ordination between regions and an effective system of testing.
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PDF链接：
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2010.04129
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