《Ranking the Economic Importance of Countries and Industries》
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作者:
Wei Li, Dror Y. Kenett, Kazuko Yamasaki, H. Eugene Stanley, Shlomo
Havlin
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最新提交年份:
2014
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英文摘要:
In the current era of worldwide stock market interdependencies, the global financial village has become increasingly vulnerable to systemic collapse. The recent global financial crisis has highlighted the necessity of understanding and quantifying interdependencies among the world\'s economies, developing new effective approaches to risk evaluation, and providing mitigating solutions. We present a methodological framework for quantifying interdependencies in the global market and for evaluating risk levels in the world-wide financial network. The resulting information will enable policy and decision makers to better measure, understand, and maintain financial stability. We use the methodology to rank the economic importance of each industry and country according to the global damage that would result from their failure. Our quantitative results shed new light on China\'s increasing economic dominance over other economies, including that of the USA, to the global economy.
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中文摘要:
在当前全球股市相互依赖的时代,全球金融村越来越容易受到系统性崩溃的影响。最近的全球金融危机突显了理解和量化世界经济体之间相互依赖关系、开发新的有效风险评估方法以及提供缓解方案的必要性。我们提出了一个方法论框架,用于量化全球市场中的相互依赖性,以及评估全球金融网络中的风险水平。由此产生的信息将使政策制定者和决策者能够更好地衡量、理解和维护金融稳定。我们使用这种方法,根据每个行业和国家的失败可能造成的全球损害,对它们的经济重要性进行排名。我们的量化结果为中国在全球经济中对包括美国在内的其他经济体日益增长的经济主导地位提供了新的线索。
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分类信息:
一级分类:Quantitative Finance 数量金融学
二级分类:General Finance 一般财务
分类描述:Development of general quantitative methodologies with applications in finance
通用定量方法的发展及其在金融中的应用
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一级分类:Physics 物理学
二级分类:Physics and Society 物理学与社会
分类描述:Structure, dynamics and collective behavior of societies and groups (human or otherwise). Quantitative analysis of social networks and other complex networks. Physics and engineering of infrastructure and systems of broad societal impact (e.g., energy grids, transportation networks).
社会和团体(人类或其他)的结构、动态和集体行为。社会网络和其他复杂网络的定量分析。具有广泛社会影响的基础设施和系统(如能源网、运输网络)的物理和工程。
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