中国省际资本存量估算

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第 27 卷第 12 期
2010 年 12 月
统计研究
Statistical Research
Vol. 27No. 12
Dec. 2010
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中国省际资本存量估算
叶宗裕
内容提要资本存量估算的准确与否关系到许多相关研究结果的准确性深入探讨其估计方法具有重要意义。
本文对各类统计资料中大量的基础数据进行了细致的分析、筛选和处理对已有相关研究中折旧率和基期资本存
量的确定方法进行了改进根据资本产出比变化规律确定基期资本存量将资本分为建筑安装工程和设备工器具
购置两类分别设定折旧率、用永续盘存法估算资本存量然后相加得出总的资本存量。根据所估算的资本存量计
算的各省区的资本产出比较为合理因而所估算的资本存量是可信的、比较准确的。
关键词资本存量资本产出比缩减指数折旧率
中图分类号F222 文献标识码A
文章编号1002  4565201012  0065  07
The Estimation of China's Provincial Capital Stock
Ye Zongyu
AbstractThis paper carefully analyses and deals with large numbers of basic data in many kinds of statistical
yearbooksand improves the method of ascertaining the base-year capital stock and the depreciation rate. The base-year
capital stock is ascertained according to changes of the capital-GDP ratio. The capital is divided into that of architecture
installation project and equipment purchase. Two depreciation rates are assumed respectively in estimating two kinds of the
capitals. Then two kinds of the capitals are added to obtain the total capital. The estimated provincial capital stock is
creditable and exact.
Key wordsCapital StockCapital-output RatioCurtailment IndexDepreciation Rate
一、引言
在经济学的实证分析中资本存量是一个重要
的指标例如投资函数、全要素生产率和经济增长等
方面的研究都离不开资本存量。近几年有学者争论
中国全要素生产率和资本回报率大小的问题其实
与资本存量估算的精确度密切相关如果资本存量
的估算不准确就不可能得出正确的结论。因此我
们很有必要审视以前的相关研究得出令人信服的
估算数据从而为许多相关研究提供基础性依据。
资本产出比是资本存量与 GDP 的比值在短期内

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关键词：资本存量 depreciation Technologies respectively Installation