Date: 08/31/11 Time: 10:12
Sample (adjusted): 2008M08 2011M05
Included observations: 34 after adjustments
Trend assumption: Linear deterministic trend
Series: LNCPI LNM1 LNF
Lags interval (in first differences): 1 to 1
Unrestricted Cointegration Rank Test (Trace)
Hypothesized Trace 0.05
No. of CE(s) Eigenvalue Statistic Critical Value Prob.**
None * 0.504750 33.82703 29.79707 0.0163
At most 1 0.229769 9.935496 15.49471 0.2857
At most 2 0.030676 1.059300 3.841466 0.3034
Trace test indicates 1 cointegrating eqn(s) at the 0.05 level
* denotes rejection of the hypothesis at the 0.05 level
**MacKinnon-Haug-Michelis (1999) p-values
Unrestricted Cointegration Rank Test (Maximum Eigenvalue)
Hypothesized Max-Eigen 0.05
No. of CE(s) Eigenvalue Statistic Critical Value Prob.**
None * 0.504750 23.89153 21.13162 0.0199
At most 1 0.229769 8.876197 14.26460 0.2966
At most 2 0.030676 1.059300 3.841466 0.3034
Max-eigenvalue test indicates 1 cointegrating eqn(s) at the 0.05 level
* denotes rejection of the hypothesis at the 0.05 level
**MacKinnon-Haug-Michelis (1999) p-values
Unrestricted Cointegrating Coefficients (normalized by b'*S11*b=I):
LNCPI LNM1 LNF
26.20088 -12.24982 7.034764
-46.30987 -14.33520 17.85747
-11.15371 -31.45210 44.44840
Unrestricted Adjustment Coefficients (alpha):
D(LNCPI) -0.004252 3.09E-05 0.000398
D(LNM1) -0.000467 0.009278 6.18E-05
D(LNF) -0.004440 0.001676 -0.002197
1 Cointegrating Equation(s): Log likelihood 318.3190
Normalized cointegrating coefficients (standard error in parentheses)
LNCPI LNM1 LNF
1.000000 -0.467535 0.268493
(0.24136) (0.30646)
Adjustment coefficients (standard error in parentheses)
D(LNCPI) -0.111404
(0.02329)
D(LNM1) -0.012245
(0.09421)
D(LNF) -0.116328
(0.06687)
2 Cointegrating Equation(s): Log likelihood 322.7571
Normalized cointegrating coefficients (standard error in parentheses)
LNCPI LNM1 LNF
1.000000 0.000000 -0.125049
(0.04373)
0.000000 1.000000 -0.841738
(0.10933)
Adjustment coefficients (standard error in parentheses)
D(LNCPI) -0.112837 0.051642
(0.04729) (0.01676)
D(LNM1) -0.441887 -0.127270
(0.16793) (0.05951)
D(LNF) -0.193951 0.030359
(0.13479) (0.04777)
请问上面分析对应的协整方程(协整关系)怎么写?



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