诺贝尔经济学奖竞猜

Trond Egil Olsen

挪威经济学院（NHH）金融学院教授，在挪威访问时知道他的声望很高，因为创立了一个新的研究领域，金融合同理论。

Tournaments with prize-setting agents, Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 113(3), 2011, 729-753 (with Kristoffer W. Eriksen and Ola Kvaløy).

Endogenous Verifiability and Relational Contracting, American Economic Review, 99(5), 2009, 2193-2208 (with Ola Kvaløy).

Cooperation in Knowledge-Intensive Firms, Journal of Human Capital, 2(4), 2008, 410-440 (with Ola Kvaløy).

Relative performance evaluation, agent hold-up and firm organization, Journal of the Japanese & International Economies, 22(2), 2008, 229-241 (with Ola Kvaløy).

Distorted Performance Measures and Dynamic Incentives, Journal of Economics & Management Strategy, 17(1), 2008, 149-183 (with Oddvar Kaarbøe).

Career Concerns, Monetary Incentives and Job Design, Scandinavian Journal of Economics, vol. 108(2), 2006, 299-316 (with Oddvar Kaarbøe).

Team incentives in relational contracts, Journal of Labor Economics, vol. 24(1), 2006, 139-169 (with Ola Kvaløy).

Sharing of endogenous risk in construction, Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, vol. 58, 2005, 511-26 (with Petter Osmundsen).

Spillovers and international competition for investments, Journal of International Economics, vol. 59, 2003, 211-238 (with Petter Osmundsen).

Strategic tax competition: implications of national ownership, Journal of Public Economics, vol. 81(2), 2001, 253-277 (with Petter Osmundsen).

Discretion and Incentives in Organizations, Journal of Labor Economics, vol. 18(3), July 2000, 377-404 (with Gaute Torsvik).

Collusion and Renegotiation in Hierarchies: A Case of Beneficial Corruption, International Economic Review, vol. 39(2), May 1998, 413-438 (with Gaute Torsvik).

不知道国内有没有人研究这个领域，教授生日的时候专门举办了一场会议。

Douglas W. Diamond　　美国伊利诺州芝加哥市芝加哥大学(University of Chicago, Chicago)商学研究所Merton H. Miller杰出教授

　　获奖成就：对金融中介与监督之分析

　　(英文原文：For his analysis of financial intermediation and monitoring)

　　Anne O. Krueger　　美国华盛顿约翰霍普金斯大学(Johns Hopkins University)Paul H. Nitze高级国际研究学院国际经济学教授

　　Gordon Tullock　　美国维吉尼亚州阿灵顿乔治马森大学法学院(George Mason University School of Law)法律与经济荣誉教授

　　获奖成就：他们对于寻租行为及其意义的阐述

　　(英文原文：For their description of rent-seeking behavior and its implications)

　　Jerry A. Hausman　　美国麻州剑桥麻省理工学院(Massachusetts Institute of Technology)经济学系John and Jennie S. MacDonald教授

　　Halbert L. White, Jr　　美国加州拉荷亚加州大学圣地牙哥分校(University of California San Diego, La Jolla)经济系Chancellor's Associates杰出经济学教授

　　获奖成就：他们对计量经济学的贡献，尤其是郝斯蒙模型设定检定法(Hausman specification test)及White standard errors test

　　(英文原文：For their contributions to econometrics, specifically the Hausman specification test and the White standard errors test)

icesnow 发表于 2011-10-2 22:45
我猜巴罗和梯若尔

这两个人没有任何一起得奖的可能  

我爱制度 发表于 2011-10-2 23:02
我个人觉得阿西墨格鲁（D Acemoglu），在劳动经济学、政治经济学以及制度分析等诸多领域很有建树。
引用一 ...

Acemoglu 15年之后得奖的概率比较大，比较也得克拉克了，而且还在高峰创作期

BLACKSTONE@ 发表于 2011-10-3 09:13
Douglas W. Diamond 对金融中介与监督之分析
因为我方向就是这个，所以希望他能得奖吧呵呵

这个得奖是迟早的事情 他应该和Philip H. Dybvig 一起得奖

jicao17 发表于 2011-10-3 09:29
我猜威廉·D·诺德豪斯(William D. Nordhaus)，主要是其对环境经济学,特别是有关气候变化对经济影响的研究贡 ...

环境经济学要颁奖的话还要加上哈佛经济系的 Weitzman

guangguang83 发表于 2011-10-3 10:30
猜几个经济波动领域的，Lawrence Christiano, Smets or Schorfheide

没有任何可能性

1149621054clb 发表于 2011-10-3 10:24
我认为是Douglas W. Diamond

  他最重要的是和Philip Dybvig合作的那一篇，所以Philip Dybvig也会一起得奖