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[其它] 诺贝尔经济学奖竞猜   [推广有奖]

431
shiyi_dewie 在职认证  发表于 2011-10-10 01:32:12
Al Roth at Harvard

Biography

Al Roth graduated from Columbia University in 1971 with a degree in Operations research. He then moved to Stanford University, receiving both his masters and PhD in Operations research there in 1973 and 1974 respectively.

After leaving Stanford, Roth went on to teach at the University of Illinois until 1982. He then served as the Andrew W. Mellon Professor of Economics at the University of Pittsburgh until 1998, when he left to join the faculty at Harvard where he has remained ever since.[1]

Roth is an Alfred P. Sloan fellow, a Guggenheim Fellow, and a fellow of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences. He is also a member of the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) and the Econometric Society.
Work

Roth has worked in the fields of game theory, market design and experimental economics. In particular, he helped redesign mechanisms for selecting medical residents, New York City high schools and Boston primary schools.

Case Study in Game theory
Main article: National Resident Matching Program

Roth's 1984 paper on the National Resident Matching Program (NRMP) highlighted the system designed by John Stalknaker and F. J. Mullen in 1952. The system was built on theoretical foundations independently introduced by David Gale and Lloyd Shapley in 1962.[6] Roth proved that the NRMP was both stable and strategy-proof for unmarried residents but deferred to future study the question of how to match married couples efficiently.

In 1999 Roth redesigned the matching program to ensure stable matches even with married couples.

New York City public school system

Roth later helped design the market to match New York City public school students to high schools as incoming freshmen. Previously, the school district had students mail in a list of their five preferred schools in rank order, then mailed a photocopy of that list to each of the five schools. As a result, schools could tell whether or not students had listed them as their first choice. This meant that some students really had a choice of one school, rather than five. It also meant that students had an incentive to hide their true preferences. Roth and his colleagues designed an incentive-compatible mechanism and presented it to the school board in 2003. The school board accepted the measure as the method of selection for New York City public school students.

Boston's public school system

Working with Tayfun Sonmez, Roth presented a similar measure to Boston's public school system in 2004. Here the Boston system gave so much preference to an applicant's first choice that were a student to not receive her first or second choice it was likely that she would not be matched with any school on her list and be administratively assigned to schools which had vacancies. Some Boston parents had informally recognized this feature of the system and developed detailed lists in order to avoid having their children administratively assigned.Boston held public hearings on the school selection system and finally settled on a modified version of the algorithm used to match New York City students.

New England Program for Kidney Exchange
See also: Organ transplant

Roth is also a founder of the New England Program for Kidney Exchange along with Tayfun Sonmez and Utku Unver, a registry and matching program that pairs compatible kidney donors and recipients.

The program was designed to operate primarily through the use of two pairs of incompatible donors. Each donor was incompatible with her partner but could be compatible with another donor who was likewise incompatible with his partner. Francis Delmonico, a transplant surgeon at Harvard Medical School, describes a typical situation,

    Kidney exchange enables transplantation where it otherwise could not be accomplished. It overcomes the frustration of a biological obstacle to transplantation. For instance, a wife may need a kidney and her husband may want to donate, but they have a blood type incompatibility that makes donation impossible. Now they can do an exchange. And we've done them. Now we are working on a three-way exchange.

Because the National Organ Transplant Act forbids the creation of binding contracts for organ transplant, steps in the procedure had to be performed roughly simultaneously. Two pairs of patients means four operating rooms and four surgical teams acting in concert with each other. Hospitals and professionals in the transplant community felt that the practical burden of three pairwise exchanges would be too large. While the original theoretical work discovered that an "efficient frontier" would be reached with exchanges between three pairs of otherwise incompatible donors, it was determined that the goals of the program would not be sacrificed by limiting exchanges to pairs of incompatible donors. Recently, however, a twelve party (six donors and six recipients) kidney exchange was performed in April 2008.

Books

Roth is the author of numerous scholarly articles, books and other publications. A selection:

    * 1979. Axiomatic Models of Bargaining, Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems. Springer Verlag.
    * 1985. Game-Theoretic Models of Bargaining, (editor)Cambridge University Press, 1985.
    * 1987. Laboratory Experimentation in Economics: Six Points of View. (editor) Cambridge University Press. (Chinese translation, 2008)
    * 1988. The Shapley Value: Essays in Honor of Lloyd S. Shapley. (editor) Cambridge University Press.
    * 1990. Two-Sided Matching: A Study in Game-Theoretic Modeling and Analysis. With M. Sotomayor. Cambridge University Press.
    * 1995. Handbook of Experimental Economics. Edited with J.H. Kagel. Princeton University Press.
    * 2001. Game Theory in the Tradition of Bob Wilson. Edited with Bengt Holmstrom and Paul Milgrom.
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432
sqcheng 发表于 2011-10-10 09:56:27
支持道格拉斯•W•戴蒙德

433
fanxuchun 发表于 2011-10-10 10:02:33
奥利弗•哈特

434
jiulaiyichi 发表于 2011-10-10 10:33:18
豪斯曼和戴蒙德

435
a2145166 发表于 2011-10-10 12:33:59
杰瑞·豪斯曼,美国麻省理工学院教授;小哈尔伯特·怀特,美国加州大学圣地亚哥分校教授
鉴于他们对计量经济学的贡献
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当觉得为时已晚的时候,恰恰是最早的时候。。

436
wyflying 发表于 2011-10-10 12:41:09
Gordon Tullock
他的寻租行为很有作用,挺支持他拿奖的
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437
penghg 发表于 2011-10-10 13:36:49
张五常

438
ctf512 发表于 2011-10-10 13:37:49
 美国伊利诺州芝加哥市芝加哥大学(University of Chicago, Chicago)商学研究所Merton H. Miller杰出教授

439
ctf512 发表于 2011-10-10 13:42:00
我觉得美国的学者获奖的概率是非常大的,例如现任纽约大学客座教授的经济学家保罗·罗默,

440
yuanrb123 发表于 2011-10-10 14:28:36
小哈尔伯特•L•怀特(Halbert L. White,Jr)
美国加州拉荷亚加州大学圣地牙哥分校经济系Chancellors Associates杰出教授

  成就:对计量经济学的贡献,尤其是郝斯蒙模型设定检定法

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