【劳动经济学】Estimating the Incidences of the Recent Pension Reform in China

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1 论文标题
Estimating the Incidences of the Recent Pension Reform in China: Evidence from 100,000 Manufacturers
2 作者信息
Zhigang Li and Minqin Wu
3 出处和链接
BBVA，Working Pape Number 11/38，23 December 2011
4 摘要
An ongoing reform in China mandates employers to contribute significant amounts to employee
pension funds. The current study estimates the impact of this reform on the wage, employment
and performance of firms using data from over 140,000 medium and large manufacturers in
China during 2004 and 2006. We find that the nominal wages of employees were rigid but their
real wages may have declined due to the pension reform. In addition, we find an interesting
dichotomy in the incidences of pension reform. In localities with high agglomeration levels, firms'
profits declined because the pension burden could not be fully transferred to employees. In less
agglomerated jurisdictions, firms responded positively to pension reform, possibly because local
governments over-subsidized the pension costs as a way to attract investment.


Working_Paper_11-38_Pension_Reform_in_China_Zhigang_tcm348-283989.pdf (173.78 KB)

2012-1-29 07:11:34 上传

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关键词：Estimating Incidence PENSION recent Reform 论文 信息 经济学

本文使用了2004和2006年的工业企业数据库，我记得很多人是有的。如果感兴趣可以使用更大的时间跨度或者更多的年份研究类似的问题。这篇论文给我们提供了新的思路和方向。

看看，学习之，谢谢。

看看，学习一下

谢谢

policy analysis.

多谢分享咯，先收下了。。

多谢分享，谢谢楼主

我在两次会议上分别看到过黎志刚这篇文章的前两稿，想来也有一年半载了。这一稿有不少提升，但我觉得养老金负担能转移给谁，归根到底还是劳资双方供求弹性决定的，因此用这个文章来address供求弹性才能有更大的提升。