我的是截面数据(混合截面数据),我将数据堆积,直接做了一次OLS回归。
检验异方差,发现:
. estat hettest, normal
Breusch-Pagan / Cook-Weisberg test for heteroskedasticity
Ho: Constant variance
Variables: fitted values of EM1
chi2(1) = 53704.63
Prob > chi2 = 0.0000
结果很恐怖吧, Prob > chi2 = 0.0000。
然后,我就接着做了FGLS,但是结果:
Source | SS df MS Number of obs = 2680
-------------+------------------------------ F( 8, 2671) = 40.41
Model | 61.0272328 8 7.6284041 Prob > F = 0.0000
Residual | 504.25283 2671 .188788031 R-squared = 0.1080
-------------+------------------------------ Adj R-squared = 0.1053
Total | 565.280062 2679 .211004129 Root MSE = .4345
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
EM1 | Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
leverage | .4581327 .0516988 8.86 0.000 .3567591 .5595064
vol | .1325186 .1782851 0.74 0.457 -.2170722 .4821094
tangibility | 5.95e-12 1.26e-12 4.74 0.000 3.49e-12 8.42e-12
lagasset | -.1480147 .0103643 -14.28 0.000 -.1683377 -.1276918
q | .0071016 .0069811 1.02 0.309 -.0065873 .0207906
profitabil~y | 1.088042 .1299496 8.37 0.000 .8332297 1.342854
Aindex | 9.76e-06 .000014 0.70 0.487 -.0000178 .0000373
sales | 1.22e-12 5.12e-13 2.39 0.017 2.18e-13 2.22e-12
_cons | 2.861681 .2431813 11.77 0.000 2.384839 3.338524
R2变得特别小了,只有0.1了,之前用OLS的时候还能达到0.4左右的(虽然也不算大)。
还有就是变量VOL(现金流波动)等变量的T检验超过了0.05,显著性很弱了。
求XDJM指教,难道我的模型设定有问题。。。之后该怎么做?难道在毕业论文里写模型没意义,试验失败啊???急死我了


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