[下载]Users Guide: Crystal Ball. Scenario Analyis

相似文件 换一批

是 否 +2 论坛币

k人 参与回答

经管之家送您一份

应届毕业生专属福利!

求职就业群

赵安豆老师微信：zhaoandou666

经管之家联合CDA

送您一个全额奖学金名额~ !

立即领取

感谢您参与论坛问题回答

经管之家送您两个论坛币！

+2 论坛币

10386.rar (131.67 KB) 本附件包括：

• CB.Scenario Analysis.pdf

2005-3-16 13:17:00 上传

[下载]Users Guide: Crystal Ball. Scenario Analyis

扫码加我 拉你入群

请注明：姓名-公司-职位

以便审核进群资格，未注明则拒绝

分享0 收藏0 回帖

关键词：crystal ball Scenario Analyis Crystal Guide ball Crystal Guide Scenario Analyis

CB Tools Example Models
Model: Magazine Checkout Sales From: Decisioneering (D) CB Tool: Batch Fit Detail: This model shows the power of the Batch Fit tool in Crystal Ball 2000. This model contains historical, non-time-series data for past sales of four magazines and Crystal Ball can fit that data with distributions to predict future sales.	For: Crystal Ball Level: Simple
Model: Futura Apartments From: Decisioneering (D) CB Tool: Bootstrap Detail: This is the most basic of our models, and the basis of the Crystal Ball tutorial. As the owner of several apartments, you need to determine your potential profit given the uncertainties of number of apartments rented and amount of expenses you will have.	For: Crystal Ball Level: Simple
Model: Portfolio Allocation From: Decisioneering (D) CB Tool: Correlation Matrix Detail: This portfolio allocation model, used in our basic optimization tutorial, requires you to define decision variables and run OptQuest to determine an optimal investment strategy. The model uses standard deviation to limit risk. Includes optimizations setting file.	For: Crystal Ball & OptQuest Level: Simple
Model: Multi-Zone Reserve Estimation From: Stephen Hoye, Decisioneering, Inc. (D) CB Tool: Correlation Matrix Detail: When estimating reserves for wells or prospects with multiple producing zones, it is important to account for the dependencies that often occur not only between reservoir rock properties on a zone-by-zone basis, but also to quantify dependencies from one zone to another that may be the result of the geologic structural or stratigraphic framework associated with the pay zones. This model shows an approach that can be used to estimate multi-zone reserves accounting for uncertainty in each zone's reservoir parameters, and also incorporating in-zone and across-zone dependencies as a result of plausible observed or known reservoir and geologic information about the prospect.	For: Crystal Ball Level: Simple
Model: Oil Field Development From: Decisioneering (D) CB Tool: Decision Table Detail: Oil companies need to assess new fields or prospects where very little hard data exists. With little actual data available, the discovery team wants to quantify and optimize the Net Present Value (NPV) of this asset. Includes optimizations setting file and uses a percentile objective and a lookup table based on a decision variable.	For: Crystal Ball Level: Simple
Model: Risk Assessment at a Toxic Waste Site From: Decisioneering (D) CB Tool: Scenario Analysis Detail: This simple spreadsheet model predicts the cancer risk to the population from a toxic waste site. The pollutant at the waste site and the population close to the site are both sources of uncertainty, which complicates the calculation of a risk assessment value. Overestimating the population risk can mean a waste of resources on unnecessary remediation, while underestimating the risk can pose a very real danger to the local population.	For: Crystal Ball Level: Simple
Model: Reliability of a Helical Spring From: Decisioneering (D) CB Tool: Tornado Chart Detail: In this example, a design engineer is given the task of choosing the best material to use for a helical spring.	For: Crystal Ball Level: Simple
Model: Risk Assessment at a Toxic Waste Site From: Decisioneering (D) CB Tool: 2D Simulation Detail: This simple spreadsheet model predicts the cancer risk to the population from a toxic waste site. The pollutant at the waste site and the population close to the site are both sources of uncertainty, which complicates the calculation of a risk assessment value. Overestimating the population risk can mean a waste of resources on unnecessary remediation, while underestimating the risk can pose a very real danger to the local population.	For: Crystal Ball Level: Simple

正需要呢，谢谢楼主分享！

谢谢，如果有中文版就更好了

谢谢，，希望有所帮助

好东东，谢楼主