请问各位下面这个SVAR估计结果是否成立。多谢各位！

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Structural VAR Estimates
Date: 11/07/12   Time: 16:09
Sample (adjusted): 1987 2010
Included observations: 24 after adjustments
Estimation method: method of scoring (analytic derivatives)
Convergence achieved after 9 iterations
Structural VAR is over-identified (1 degrees of freedom)
Model: Ae = Bu where E[uu']=I
Restriction Type: short-run pattern matrix
A =
1	C(3)	C(4)
C(1)	1	C(5)
C(2)	0	1
B =
1	0	0
0	1	0
0	0	1
WARNING: B matrix is fixed (structural innovation variances not estimated)!!!
	Coefficient	Std. Error	z-Statistic	Prob.
C(1)	-1.985366	1.356791	-1.463281	0.1434
C(2)	6.422061	0.986780	6.508100	0.0000
C(3)	16.98347	2.452001	6.926372	0.0000
C(4)	-2.894752	1.069047	-2.707788	0.0068
C(5)	4.758187	0.740618	6.424613	0.0000
Log likelihood	50.26175
LR test for over-identification:
Chi-square(1)	0.013818		Probability	0.9064
Estimated A matrix:
1.000000	16.98347	-2.894752
-1.985366	1.000000	4.758187
6.422061	0.000000	1.000000
Estimated B matrix:
1.000000	0.000000	0.000000
0.000000	1.000000	0.000000
0.000000	0.000000	1.000000

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关键词：估计结果 SVAR SVA VaR observations achieved adjusted freedom method where

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