Cointegrating Eq: CointEq1
LY(-1) 1.000000
LX1(-1) -1.338939
(0.32429)
(-4.12886)
X2(-1) 0.164574
(0.09445)
(1.74243)
X3(-1) 0.100905
(0.35373)
(0.28525)
X4(-1) -0.171200
(0.05713)
(-2.99670)
C 4.351173
Error Correction: D(LY) D(LX1) D(X2) D(X3) D(X4)
CointEq1 -0.014987 0.047601 0.764100 0.046956 8.970859
(0.13478) (0.01447) (0.57171) (0.06510) (1.84031)
(-0.11120) (3.28858) (1.33651) (0.72132) (4.87465)
D(LY(-1)) -0.255147 -0.014117 0.015821 -0.008456 -4.384663
(0.14861) (0.01596) (0.63037) (0.07178) (2.02913)
(-1.71691) (-0.88451) (0.02510) (-0.11782) (-2.16085)
D(LX1(-1)) 1.486423 0.818370 4.569115 0.819456 39.38895
(1.55225) (0.16671) (6.58437) (0.74972) (21.1948)
(0.95759) (4.90909) (0.69393) (1.09302) (1.85843)
D(X2(-1)) 0.086220 0.013184 -0.160359 0.009642 0.563648
(0.05059) (0.00543) (0.21460) (0.02444) (0.69080)
(1.70423) (2.42639) (-0.74724) (0.39458) (0.81594)
D(X3(-1)) -1.070300 -0.025277 -2.864306 0.111974 -7.620608
(0.46527) (0.04997) (1.97358) (0.22472) (6.35286)
(-2.30040) (-0.50586) (-1.45132) (0.49828) (-1.19955)
D(X4(-1)) 0.005476 0.004833 0.219171 -0.003073 0.801859
(0.01483) (0.00159) (0.06293) (0.00717) (0.20256)
(0.36916) (3.03381) (3.48298) (-0.42888) (3.95869)
C 0.188611 0.031338 -0.328433 0.010951 -3.625824
(0.20399) (0.02191) (0.86528) (0.09852) (2.78529)
(0.92462) (1.43049) (-0.37957) (0.11115) (-1.30178)
R-squared 0.485941 0.703170 0.383512 0.118752 0.558919
Adj. R-squared 0.362567 0.631930 0.235555 -0.092748 0.453059
Sum sq. resids 2.054404 0.023695 36.96520 0.479251 383.0204
S.E. equation 0.286664 0.030787 1.215980 0.138456 3.914181
F-statistic 3.938759 9.870531 2.592049 0.561475 5.279820
Log likelihood -1.474029 69.92539 -47.71389 21.81422 -85.12367
Akaike AIC 0.529627 -3.932837 3.419618 -0.925889 5.757729
Schwarz SC 0.850257 -3.612207 3.740248 -0.605259 6.078359
Mean dependent 0.199469 0.143119 -0.032187 0.142169 0.090625
S.D. dependent 0.359051 0.050745 1.390764 0.132450 5.292622
Determinant Residual Covariance 3.40E-06
Log Likelihood -25.56017
Akaike Information Criteria 4.097510
Schwarz Criteria 5.929680
如何根据上述结果写出误差协整模型



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