| Date: 08/14/13 Time: 16:02 |
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| Sample (adjusted): 1/08/1997 7/30/2013 |
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| Included observations: 4320 after adjustments |
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| Trend assumption: No deterministic trend (restricted constant) | ||||
| Series: LNNZDS(1) LNNZDF |
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| Lags interval (in first differences): 1 to 4 |
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| Unrestricted Cointegration Rank Test (Trace) |
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| Hypothesized |
| Trace | 0.05 |
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| No. of CE(s) | Eigenvalue | Statistic | Critical Value | Prob.** |
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| None | 0.003654 | 17.10097 | 20.26184 | 0.1288 |
| At most 1 | 0.000298 | 1.286564 | 9.164546 | 0.9098 |
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| Trace test indicates no cointegration at the 0.05 level | ||||
| * denotes rejection of the hypothesis at the 0.05 level | ||||
| **MacKinnon-Haug-Michelis (1999) p-values |
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| Unrestricted Cointegration Rank Test (Maximum Eigenvalue) | ||||
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| Hypothesized |
| Max-Eigen | 0.05 |
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| No. of CE(s) | Eigenvalue | Statistic | Critical Value | Prob.** |
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| None | 0.003654 | 15.81441 | 15.89210 | 0.0514 |
| At most 1 | 0.000298 | 1.286564 | 9.164546 | 0.9098 |
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| Max-eigenvalue test indicates no cointegration at the 0.05 level | ||||
| * denotes rejection of the hypothesis at the 0.05 level | ||||
| **MacKinnon-Haug-Michelis (1999) p-values |
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| Unrestricted Cointegrating Coefficients (normalized by b'*S11*b=I): | ||||
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| LNNZDS(1) | LNNZDF | C |
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| 768.4460 | -770.4751 | 2.661557 |
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| 30.73446 | -26.08140 | -1.947799 |
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| Unrestricted Adjustment Coefficients (alpha): |
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| D(LNNZDS(1)) | 0.000105 | -0.000144 |
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| D(LNNZDF) | 2.16E-05 | 1.27E-06 |
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| 1 Cointegrating Equation(s): | Log likelihood | 42534.94 |
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| Normalized cointegrating coefficients (standard error in parentheses) | ||||
| LNNZDS(1) | LNNZDF | C |
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| 1.000000 | -1.002640 | 0.003464 |
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| (0.00158) | (0.00082) |
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| Adjustment coefficients (standard error in parentheses) |
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| D(LNNZDS(1)) | 0.080619 |
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| (0.09974) |
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| D(LNNZDF) | 0.016583 |
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| (0.00426) |
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