预测诺贝尔经济学奖、拿论坛币！（回帖奖励）

萨姆·佩兹曼（Sam Peltzman） 和理查德·A·波斯纳（Richard A. Posner）

他们发展了经济调控理论

我觉得网易新闻上说的美国经济学家山姆·佩尔兹曼比较可能

好像没什么预测准的时候！

Making a guess
Econometrics：Lars Peter Hansen（GMM）；David Hendry（dynamic econometrics）；Peter C.B.Phillips（large sample theory）
Macroeconomics：Robert Barro（Barro-Ricardo Equivalence）；Robert Hall(Consumption is a Martingale process）；Truman Bewley（Heterogeneity）
Finance：Stephen A. Ross（APT）；Eugene Fama（EMH）；Richard Thaler（behavior finance）；Robert Shiller（Variance Ratio Test）
Microeconomics：Jean Tirole（IO,Game theory,corporate finance,contract theory et al.）；Sanford Grossman&Oliver Hart（New property rights theory）；David Kreps、Paul Milgrom、Robert Wilson、John Roberts（“Gangs of Four"）；Richard Posner（Law and economics）

这个比较难猜测吧

让•梯若尔 法国图卢兹大学产业经济研究所科研所长以及图卢兹经济学院院长，同时在巴黎大学， 麻省理工学院担任兼职教授，并先后在哈佛大学、斯坦福大学担任客座教授。梯若尔仿佛专为经济学而生，被誉为当代“天才经济学家”。

曼昆

楼主列几个候选的

无论是谁，拿到奖一定很开心。。。呵呵

我的预测是：
Alan J. Auerbach
        Alan J. Auerbach is the Robert D. Burch Professor of Economics and Law, Director of the Burch Center for Tax Policy and Public Finance, and former Chair of the Economics Department at the University of California, Berkeley. He is also a Research Associate of the National Bureau of Economic Research and previously taught at Harvard and the University of Pennsylvania, where he also served as Economics Department Chair. Professor Auerbach was Deputy Chief of Staff of the U.S. Joint Committee on Taxation in 1992 and has been a consultant to several government agencies and institutions in the United States and abroad. A former Vice President of the American Economic Association, he was Editor of that associationís Journal of Economic
Perspectives and is now Editor of its new American Economic Journal: Economic Policy.
        Professor Auerbach is a Fellow of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences and of the Econometric Society.