预测诺贝尔经济学奖、拿论坛币！（回帖奖励）

1.让•梯若尔（Jean Tirole）
2.法国图卢兹大学产业经济研究所科研所长以及图卢兹经济学院（Toulouse School of Economics）院长，同时在巴黎大学， 麻省理工学院担任兼职教授，并先后在哈佛大学、斯坦福大学担任客座教授。
3.梯若尔仿佛专为经济学而生，被誉为当代“天才经济学家”。纵观其20多年学术生涯中所作出的贡献，足令任何经济学家瞠目：300多篇高水平论文，11部专著，内容涉及经济学的任何重要领域———从宏观经济学到产业组织理论，从博弈论到激励理论，到国际金融，再到经济学与心理学的交叉研究，梯若尔都作出了开创性的贡献。智慧的光芒和热量洒向经济学每一个研究领域。梯若尔纵横驰骋，尽情挥洒，激情所至，堪称天下无敌。
4.自90年代中期起，梯若尔开始以一个开拓者的姿态征服经济学的新领域：经济组织中的串谋问题(1992), 不完全契约理论(1999)，公司治理结构(2001) ， 公司金融理论(2002)， 国际金融理论(2002)，以及最近完成的经济心理学(2002)。
5.https://bbs.pinggu.org/thread-2415395-1-1.html

山姆佩尔兹曼 Sam Peltzman

个人觉得呼声高的最后不一定能够得奖~~

这个……受到所学专业限制，很难了解国外的全面情况，先看看外媒的预测吧，转个路透的预测：
Thomson Reuters predicts the 2013 Nobel Laureate in economics
“Joshua D. Angrist, David E. Card, Alan B. Krueger, Sir David F. Hendry, M. Hashem Pesaran, Peter C.B. Phillips, Sam Peltzman, and Richard A. Posner, all very good possible picks in my view.”
查了查这几个人：
Joshua D. Angrist：
Angrist has also made contributions in theoretical econometrics. He co-founded and serves as a director of the School Effectiveness & Inequality Initiative based within the MIT Department of Economics.The center's work focuses on the economics of education, issues surrounding domestic poverty, and the connections between human capital and the American income distribution.
David Card：
David Card has also made fundamental contributions to research on immigration,[3]education,[4] job training and inequality. Much of Card's work centers on a comparison between the United States and Canada in various situations. On immigration, Card's research has shown that the economic impact of new immigrants is minimal. Card has done several case studies on the rapid assimilation of immigrant groups, finding that they have little or no impact on wages. In an interview with the New York Times, Card said, "I honestly think the economic arguments [against immigration] are second order. They are almost irrelevant." [5] This does not imply, however, that Card believes immigration should be increased, merely that immigrants do not pose a threat to the labour market.
Alan Bennett Krueger： (born September 17, 1960) is an American economist, Bendheim Professor of Economics and Public Affairs at Princeton University and Research Associate at the National Bureau of Economic Research. On March 7, 2009, he was nominated by President Barack Obama to be United States Assistant Secretary of the Treasury for economic policy. In October 2010, he announced his resignation from the Treasury Department, to return to Princeton University. He is among the 50 highest ranked economists in the world according to IDEAS/RePEc. On August 29, 2011, he was nominated by Obama to be chairman of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, and on November 3, 2011, the Senate unanimously confirmed his nomination.
Sir David F. Hendry
His work is predominantly on time series econometrics and the econometrics of the demand for money. In recent years he has worked on the theory of forecasting and also on automated model building.


M. Hashem Pesaran 教授，剑桥大学经济学教授及剑桥大学三一学院fellow。计量经济学软件Microfit的开发人之一。应用计量经济学期刊Journal of Applied Econometrics的创始人及主编，目前兼任伊朗研究与分析期刊（Journal of Iranian Research and Analysis）、中东地区经济与金融评论（Review of Middle East Economics and Finance）等期刊主编委员会的成员。曾获Econometric Society、Journal of Econometrics 以及 The British Academy等的Fellow荣誉。担任IZA等多家机构的研究员，Camfit Dat有限公司等机构的董事、独立董事等。发表众多著作、论文等，其中曾获计量经济学评论（Econometric Reviews）2002至2004最佳论文奖，国际预测期刊（International Journal of Forecasting）2004至2005最佳论文奖等。
Peter Charles Bonest Phillips (23 March 1948, in Weymouth, UK) is a leadingeconometrician.He is a founding editor of the journal Econometric Theory. Peter Phillips has published many theoretical articles and advanced many research areas in econometrics. He has published important articles on continuous time econometrics, finite-sample theory, asymptotic expansions, unit root and cointegration, long-range dependent time series, and panel data econometrics. He also introduced the use of the Functional central limit theorem to derive asymptotic distributions of unit roots tests. Phillips mainly used frequentist statistical methods. Phillips has also supervised numerous Ph.D. students.
Sam Peltzman
The Peltzman effect is the hypothesized tendency of people to react to a safety regulation by increasing other risky behavior, offsetting some or all of the benefit of the regulation. It is named after Sam Peltzman, a professor of Economics at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business.
Richard A. Posner
Posner is the author of nearly 40 books on jurisprudence, economics, and several other topics, including Economic Analysis of Law, The Economics of Justice, The Problems of Jurisprudence, Sex and Reason, Law, Pragmatism and Democracy, and The Crisis of Capitalist Democracy. The Journal of Legal Studies has identified Posner as the most cited legal scholar of the 20th century


仅供参考

每次都预测不准

支持曼昆
呵呵

感觉还没轮到Tirole………………

支持李克強

这个，亲给个入围范围啊。

与其说是预测，倒不如说是希望