I need to help a monitoring program estimate linear temporal trends over annual means. in all cases, multiple observations (L1) are nested within years (L2). For this project, the program has no interest in within-group associations. Estimating linear trends would be routine using LMMs--except that sampling probabilities for some combinations vary within years. an alternative would be to equate means with sample means/design-based sample means--under some predefined criterion for reliability. The min estimated
reliability is 0.5, with 90% of estimated reliabilities attaining or exceeding 0.93 (n = 1456).
I'll be grateful for comments re estimating trends in means using sample means provided a caveat is supplied for trends estimated where reliabilities fall below some arbitrary threshold. Also, if anyone has seen rules of thumb for reliabilities, I'd be grateful for those too.
Thanks.


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