英文文献:Economic Development Thresholds for a Green Economy in Sub-Saharan Africa-撒哈拉以南非洲绿色经济的经济发展门槛
英文文献作者:Simplice A. Asongu,Nicholas M. Odhiambo
英文文献摘要:
This study investigates how increasing economic development affects the green economy in terms of CO2 emissions, using data from 44 countries in the SSA for the period 2000-2012. The Generalised Method of Moments (GMM) is used for the empirical analysis. The following main findings are established. First, relative to CO2 emissions, enhancing economic growth and population growth engenders a U-shaped pattern whereas increasing inclusive human development shows a Kuznets curve. Second, increasing GDP growth beyond 25% of annual growth is unfavorable for a green economy. Third, a population growth rate of above 3.089% (i.e. annual %) has a positive effect of CO2 emissions. Fourth, an inequality-adjusted human development index (IHDI) of above 0.4969 is beneficial for a green economy because it is associated with a reduction in CO2 emissions. The established critical masses have policy relevance because they are situated within the policy ranges of adopted economic development dynamics.
本研究利用2000年至2012年44个SSA国家的数据,调查了增长的经济发展对绿色经济CO2排放的影响。采用广义矩量法(GMM)进行实证分析。以下主要发现被证实。首先,相对于CO2排放,经济增长和人口增长的增强会形成u型模式,而包容性的增强则会形成库兹涅茨曲线。第二,GDP增长超过25%的年增长率不利于绿色经济。第三,人口增长率在3.089%以上(即每年%)对CO2排放有积极影响。第四,经过不平等调整的人类发展指数(IHDI)高于0.4969,有利于绿色经济,因为它与二氧化碳排放的减少有关。既定的临界群众具有政策相关性,因为他们处于所采用的经济发展动力的政策范围之内。


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