| Dependent Variable: R | ||||
| Method: ML - ARCH (Marquardt) - Normal distribution | ||||
| Date: 03/03/15 Time: 16:50 | ||||
| Sample (adjusted): 3 1174 | ||||
| Included observations: 1172 after adjustments | ||||
| Convergence achieved after 29 iterations | ||||
| MA Backcast: 2 | ||||
| Presample variance: backcast (parameter = 0.7) | ||||
| GARCH = C(3) + C(4)*RESID(-1)^2 + C(5)*GARCH(-1) + C(6)*LNV2 | ||||
| Variable | Coefficient | Std. Error | z-Statistic | Prob. |
| AR(1) | 0.223407 | 0.137437 | 1.625516 | 0.1041 |
| MA(1) | -0.219379 | 0.142647 | -1.53791 | 0.1241 |
| Variance Equation | ||||
| C | 5.63E-06 | 1.02E-06 | 5.495437 | 0 |
| RESID(-1)^2 | 0.04115 | 0.008149 | 5.049965 | 0 |
| GARCH(-1) | 0.931746 | 0.010343 | 90.08062 | 0 |
| LNV2 | 3.14E-05 | 4.07E-06 | 7.713136 | 0 |
| R-squared | -0.001828 | Mean dependent var | 6.88E-05 | |
| Adjusted R-squared | -0.002684 | S.D. dependent var | 0.014475 | |
| S.E. of regression | 0.014495 | Akaike info criterion | -5.72216 | |
| Sum squared resid | 0.245813 | Schwarz criterion | -5.69623 | |
| Log likelihood | 3359.188 | Hannan-Quinn criter. | -5.71238 | |
| Durbin-Watson stat | 2.026998 | |||
| Inverted AR Roots | 0.22 | |||
| Inverted MA Roots | 0.22 | |||


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