Dependent Variable: I
Method: ML - ARCH (Marquardt) - Student's t distribution
Date: 06/01/15 Time: 09:44
Sample (adjusted): 2 121
Included observations: 120 after adjustments
Estimation settings: tol= 0.00010, derivs=accurate numeric (linear)
Initial Values: C(1)=-0.14219, C(2)=2.61024, C(3)=1.17974, C(4)=0.00500,
C(5)=69902.3, C(6)=0.17143, C(7)=20.0000
Convergence achieved after 51 iterations
Presample variance: backcast (parameter = 0.1)
GARCH = C(5) + C(6)*RESID(-1)^2
Variable Coefficient Std. Error z-Statistic Prob.
@SQRT(GARCH) -0.031544 0.096401 -0.327221 0.7435
CN 1.536113 0.207549 7.401193 0.0000
US 1.409425 0.133463 10.56039 0.0000
AR(1) 0.940689 0.033951 27.70745 0.0000
Variance Equation
C 8022.025 1606.019 4.994976 0.0000
RESID(-1)^2 0.466574 0.193004 2.417430 0.0156
T-DIST. DOF 82.34553 924.0188 0.089117 0.9290
R-squared 0.934912 Mean dependent var 2668.820
Adjusted R-squared 0.933228 S.D. dependent var 461.5837
S.E. of regression 119.2743 Akaike info criterion 12.36603
Sum squared resid 1650257. Schwarz criterion 12.52864
Log likelihood -734.9621 Hannan-Quinn criter. 12.43207
Durbin-Watson stat 1.934268
Inverted AR Roots .94


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