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英文文献：The role of Global-GAP policy on smallholder French bean producers’ climate change perception in Central and Eastern regions of Kenya-全球差距政策对肯尼亚中部和东部地区法国小农场主对气候变化的看法的作用
英文文献作者：Shimon, Otieno Peter,Ogutu, Chris Ackello,Mburu, John,Nyikal, Rose Adhiambo
英文文献摘要：
This paper presents findings of a study to examine smallholder French bean farmers’ perception of climate change and effect of Global-GAP policy on their perception in Central and Eastern regions of Kenya. A random sample of 616 households were interviewed in Kirinyaga (Central), Makueni and Meru (Eastern) counties leading to identification of 7 climate change perceptions. Using principal component analysis (PCA) to derive a few latent variables summarizing maximum variance in the perceptions, three components (latent variables) proxying for ‘droughts’, ‘delay in rainy seasons’, ‘diseases and pests’ and three proxying for ‘hot days’, ‘floods’, and ‘diseases and pests’ risk factors were extracted for Central and Eastern region respectively. The results show that common study area-wide climate change perception risk factor was incidence of diseases and pest. Using logit regression method to analyze factors influencing perceptions, the results found that Global-GAP policy positively and significantly influence perception on long term changes in temperature and rainfall. Climate change risk factors of droughts, diseases and pests, floods, and increase in number of hot days were found to influence farmers’ perception of long term changes in temperature and rainfall. Other socioeconomic factors found to influence perception of long term changes in temperature and rainfall were access to extension services, formal education and acreage under French bean production. The study concluded that farmers’ past experience with Global-GAP is a predictor of climate change attitudes. The policy implication of this study is that incorporating promotion of Global- GAP policy compliance in awareness creation strategies in a manner that considers local context and local farmers’ views can bring about progress in smallholder farm sector by resolving some of the climate change related constraints.
本文介绍了一项研究的发现，该研究旨在调查肯尼亚中部和东部地区的法国小农户对气候变化的看法，以及全球差距政策对他们看法的影响。在Kirinyaga(中部)、Makueni和Meru(东部)县随机抽样采访了616户家庭，得出了7种对气候变化的看法。使用主成分分析(PCA)获得一些潜在变量总结最大方差的观念,三个组件(潜变量)代理“干旱”、“雨季推迟”,“病虫害”和三个代理“天热”,“洪水”,疾病和害虫的风险因素分别提取的中部和东部地区。结果表明，常见的研究区域气候变化感知风险因素是病虫害的发生。利用logit回归方法分析影响感知的因素，结果发现全球差距政策对温度和降水长期变化感知具有正向和显著的影响。研究发现，干旱、病虫害、洪水等气候变化风险因素和炎热天数的增加会影响农民对温度和降雨长期变化的感知。其他被发现影响对温度和降雨长期变化感知的社会经济因素包括获得推广服务、正规教育和种植法国大豆的面积。该研究得出的结论是，农民过去经历的全球差距是气候变化态度的一个预测因素。这项研究的政策含义是，在意识创造策略中考虑当地环境和当地农民的观点，将促进全球差距政策的遵守纳入其中，可以通过解决一些与气候变化相关的制约因素，为小农农业带来进步。
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