Date: 05/10/09 Time: 09:30
Sample (adjusted): 1997 2007
Included observations: 11 after adjustments
Trend assumption: Linear deterministic trend (restricted)
Series: XINMAOYI WANGANG
Lags interval (in first differences): 1 to 1
Unrestricted Cointegration Rank Test (Trace)
Hypothesized Trace 0.05
No. of CE(s) Eigenvalue Statistic Critical Value Prob.**
None 0.619141 18.67758 25.87211 0.3002
At most 1 0.519359 8.058991 12.51798 0.2469
Trace test indicates no cointegration at the 0.05 level
* denotes rejection of the hypothesis at the 0.05 level
**MacKinnon-Haug-Michelis (1999) p-values
Unrestricted Cointegration Rank Test (Maximum Eigenvalue)
Hypothesized Max-Eigen 0.05
No. of CE(s) Eigenvalue Statistic Critical Value Prob.**
None 0.619141 10.61858 19.38704 0.5530
At most 1 0.519359 8.058991 12.51798 0.2469
Max-eigenvalue test indicates no cointegration at the 0.05 level
* denotes rejection of the hypothesis at the 0.05 level
**MacKinnon-Haug-Michelis (1999) p-values
Unrestricted Cointegrating Coefficients (normalized byb'*S11*b=I):
XINMAOYI WANGANG @TREND(91)
3.69E-06 0.000152 0.242940
-1.06E-05 0.000130 -0.295367
Unrestricted Adjustment Coefficients (alpha):
D(XINMAOYI) 27635.20 -5081.506
D(WANGANG) -3099.174 -6183.805
1 Cointegrating Equation(s): Log likelihood -241.6391
Normalized cointegrating coefficients (standard error in parentheses)
XINMAOYI WANGANG @TREND(91)
1.000000 41.16097 65752.16
(15.4259) (45496.0)
Adjustment coefficients (standard error in parentheses)
D(XINMAOYI) 0.102106
(0.03183)
D(WANGANG) -0.011451
(0.01245)
1,Lags interval (in first differences): 1 to 1 是什么意思?
2,Adjustment coefficients 是否表示其下面的系数是经过协整后的系数,可以作为新方程中系数??
3,这个VEC模型到底说明了什么呢?
4,Trace test indicates no cointegration at the 0.05 level 表示没有协整方程吗??
5,1 Cointegrating Equation(s): Log likelihood -241.6391 表示有一个协整方程吗??
我看了你的视频,视频不是很清楚。
谢谢!
[此贴子已经被作者于2009-5-10 10:44:43编辑过]