加拿大出口发展局Peter Hall: A Shift to Isolationism?

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1 论文标题: A Shift to Isolationism?
2 作者信息:

Peter Hall,

Vice President and Chief Economist,

Export Development Canada

3 出处和链接:

Cite this article:

Peter Hall. A Shift to Isolationism?[J]. Front. Econ. China, 2017, 12(2): 188-192.

URL:

http://journal.hep.com.cn/fec/EN/10.3868/s060-006-017-0009-5 http://journal.hep.com.cn/fec/EN/Y2017/V12/I2/188

4 摘要:

转向孤立主义?

Peter Hall

加拿大出口发展局

摘要：去年的一些国际事态发展引起大家深切而广泛的担忧，即，世界可能正在转向更加孤立的态势。这或许是对战后全球化运动及其支撑体系发起的最大挑战。本文认为，由于上一轮经济周期的反常性，西方国家公众对于现行的经济尤其是国际贸易体系丧失耐心，即便是全球化的捍卫者们也不清楚应该怎样去捍卫它。作为回应，本文建议要用逻辑去明确界定有多少变化是实际可能发生的，以及如果这些变化发生，采取哪些战略应对最为妥帖。

A Shift to Isolationism?

Peter Hall

Vice President and Chief Economist

Export Development Canada

Abstract:

Developments over the past year have led to serious, widespread concern that the world could be returning to a more isolationist stance. It is perhaps the greatest threat ever levelled at the post-war globalization movement and all of its supporting architecture. This paper argues that due to the unusual nature of the last business cycle, the general public has become impatient with the existing economic and inparticular, international trade architecture. It also points out that its typical defenders are unsure of how to do so. In response, what is suggested is that logic puts definite limits on how much change is actually likely to occur, and if so, which strategic responses are most appropriate.

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关键词：加拿大出口发展局 全球化 孤立主义 国际贸易