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The topic of appropriate modeling techniques for generating economic scenarios in a DFA model or in a cash flow test is extremely important to actuaries. A key part of DFA modeling is the reasonable representation of future economic indices, to model asset and liability risks. In cash flow testing, plausible future scenarios must be created to include or be consistent with plausible values of a variety of economic indices. A standardized approach to this problem would be an important step in providing guidance to practicing actuaries.
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