China’s NPC kicked off today, with Premier Li Keqiang delivering the 2018 Government Work Report. Our economist Zhiwei Zhang has published a note (“Messages from NPC”) discussing macro targets, with tightening fiscal policy highlighted. From an equity strategy perspective, we read the report line by line in conjunction with the 2017 report to identify changes in industry policies and potential theme/sector implications, especially those related to G.A.R.P. highlighted in our China equity 2018 outlook note. Our key findings:
Unabated efforts to reduce cost burdens for corporates.
Higher priority given to cultivating new emerging industries and upgrading traditional industries through innovation with regard to supply-side reform.
Consumption reiterated as a key growth pillar.
Environmental protection less wordy but not deemphasized.
There seems to be no rush in Reforming (SOE).
Still bullish on quality growth, G.A.R.P. investment themes.
20180306-Deutsche Bank-2018 NPC Government Work Report:Reading Between the Line.pdf
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