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大家都知道，国内的黑色产业链期货市场（煤焦钢等）向来是所有细分市场里妖风邪气最甚的领域。要体验人性的丑恶，非此细分市场莫属，国内当之无愧的试金石！贸易战的升级本质上来说跟焦炭屁毛关系都没有，连成材钢铁都能无所畏惧，不知道焦炭吓的屁股尿流是本性使然呢，还是妖魔鬼怪在背后作祟！大家看看今天的焦炭市场行情，就明白我说此话的要义。
在“开经偈”中有云：“无奈人心渐开明，贪嗔痴恨爱恶欲。酒色财气集一身，自造地狱不可拔。” “开明”，原义是从野蛮进化到文明，纵观当今的市场，应该是“明开”，从文明进化到野蛮，“Barbarians at the Gate”！
下面是今天下午收盘后最新分析结果供今晚或明天白天参考（另附带上用江恩理论产生的小时图和日线图与周期图互补，如果懂江恩的人自然能明白其操作要领）。
Price iscurrently in the SECOND 4 day cycle, of the SECOND 8 day cycle, of the SECOND17 day cycle, of the FIRST 34 day cycle, of the 67 day cycle.
Updated FPAreveals that the dominant cycle has a wavelength of 34.8d, or 35 bars. This isassumed to be the 40d nominal wave, which implies that all waves will beapproximately the same (3% variance) as nominal. This cycle is approaching aTROUGH (and a minor nest-of-lows). The underlying trend to this cycle iscurrently FLAT, likely turning DOWN. Recent fulfilled projections however wouldseem to indicate that the underlying trend is STRONGLY DOWN. The future FLDindicates that this cycle will influence prices to form a trough soon, and thenrise.
The sub-dominantcycle (next wave down from the dominant cycle) has a wavelength of 17.3d, or 17bars. This is assumed to be the 20d nominal wave. This cycle is approaching aTROUGH (and a very minor nest-of-lows). This is probably the SECOND of 2sub-waves. The underlying trend to this cycle is currently FLAT, likely turningUP. Recent fulfilled projections however would seem to indicate that theunderlying trend is STRONGLY DOWN. The future FLD indicates that this cyclewill influence prices to RISE.
The pre-dominantcycle (next wave up from the dominant cycle) has a wavelength of 67.5d, or 68bars. This is assumed to be the 80d nominal wave. This cycle is approaching aPEAK. The underlying trend to this cycle is currently FLAT, likely turningDOWN. Recent fulfilled projections however would seem to indicate that theunderlying trend is STRONGLY UP. The future FLD indicates that this cycle willinfluence prices to form a trough soon, and then rise.
Σ L is currently FLAT, likely TURNING DOWN.
The 34.8d CYCLEcomponent of Σ L is currently STRONGLY DOWN (strength: -3 cycles), andaccelerating.
The 17.3d CYCLEcomponent of Σ L is currently DOWN (strength: 1), but decelerating.
The 8.7d CYCLEcomponent of Σ L is currently FLAT
The 4.3d CYCLEcomponent of Σ L is currently DOWN (strength: 1), but decelerating.
The 17.3d cyclemight be the ideal trading cycle, with an average potential of 8.6% perhalf-cycle.
The last phasinganalysis was 3 bars ago. In that time price has FALLEN by 67 to 1883.00.
FLD PATTERNPROGRESSION:
Sequence Ref #0is expected to reach a LOWER target of 1891.59(102.09 diff) 2 bars LATER, on2019/8/27
Sequence Ref #1is expected to reach a HIGHER target of 2102.62(6.94 diff) by the same date, on2019/9/7
DETAILED FLDPATTERN/PRICE CORRELATION:
Price did moveDOWN (for 3 bars) as expected by the FIRST sequence (ref #0) of the previouspattern but has NOT YET reached the target of 1789.50. The closest price hasgotten to this target was 1878.00 (4.9% short). The target is due in 2 bars.
The SECONDsequence (ref #1) of the previous pattern could have started, in which case:Price has got no closer to the target of 2102.62. The closest price has gottento this target so far is 1952.00 (7.2% short), 0 bars ago. This target is onlyexpected to be achieved in 12 bars.
CURRENT FLDPATTERN PROJECTION:
Price iscurrently moving DOWN (last close 1883), with the FLD pattern indicating animpending UPWARD move, because: It is possible that the first sequence of theFLD pattern has already been fulfilled, by the low of 1878 on 2019/8/26 whichwould indicate that the second, UPWARD sequence of the pattern is now inprogress.
The first FLDpattern sequence (ref #0) projects a price movement DOWN to a target of 1891.59by about 2019/8/27.
The second FLDpattern sequence (ref #1) projects a price movement UP to a target of 2102.62by about 2019/9/7. This move would imply a 2-tier cascade of price crosses overthe 8 day to 17 day FLDs (est: 2019/8/29 & level: 1918.47) . This pricemove breaks above the 8 day, and the 4 day, and the 17 day VTL implying thatthe trough yet to be formed will be the expected trough of the 34 day cycle.This move would imply a 3-tier cascade of price crosses over the 8 day to 34day FLDs (est: 2019/8/29 & level: 1918.47) . This price move breaks abovethe 8 day, and the 4 day, and the 17 day VTL implying that the trough yet to beformed will be the expected trough of the 34 day cycle.
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