实盘操作记录

也许不会那么快。  到1000这一段，按常理讲中途应该有所反弹或者寻找一些小的支撑。

不过我自己这次的中线操作是需要首先看跌倒1000点的。如果一切顺利，会在1000点附近平仓。如果中途出现支撑，或者最坏的情况是突然有重 大利 好消 息，在支撑没有得到充分测试之前都不太可能回50MA，否则就是市场自己打自己的脸。  最最最坏的情况，市场发 疯突然上攻并破了50MA，我将止损调整至成本位的话仍然不会亏。

判断上觉得大的方向仍是向下，除非有新的信号堆 翻这个判断。

可以肯定的是，强阻力测试完后，对应的大概率事件应该是测试强支撑位。而下一个强支撑位，则至少是在上一个低点，或者1000点的心理位置。

实践就能进步。。。。

546#
分析师的工作是为市场的上涨、下跌寻找理由和借口，交易员的工作是根据市场的客观涨跌现象部署赚钱的交易计划和行动

今天在模拟仓做了个短线，顺便更新一下上周那笔标普的情况：

啊！  我要郁闷死了。。。。。  开盘下的多单，差两三个点没有开倒。。。。。  

今天补1070附近的日线缺口几乎是盘上定钉的事，  100多个点的利润。。。。就这样没了

CINCINNATI (MarketWatch) - As the second-quarter earnings season takes shape, the U.S. markets are on the defensive.

And not coincidentally, this week's downdraft follows a failed test of significant technical resistance, arguably contributing to the bearish market bias, as detailed below.



The S&P 500's hourly chart details the past three weeks.

As illustrated, the S&P has failed a test of its 50-day moving average, plunging to retest the flash-crash low this week.


And not surprisingly, the S&P 500's wider view remains bearish.
In its case:

• The 50-day moving average currently holds at 1,089.
• The 200-day moving average rests at 1,112.
  

Against this backdrop, the S&P topped three straight sessions at 1,099 last week, leading to this week's downturn.
The bigger picture As the second-quarter earnings season takes shape, the U.S. markets are on the defensive.
And not coincidentally, this week's downdraft follows a failed test of significant technical resistance, arguably contributing to the bearish market bias.





The SPDR Trust S&P 500's /quotes spy (SPY 109.19, +0.71, +0.65%) six-month view highlights the bearish longer-term backdrop.
As illustrated, the blue arrows point to July's two strongest-volume sessions, and notably, both days marked sharp downdrafts.
Specifically, the July 1 session designated the 2010 low, while the July 16 session marked a failed test of the downtrend.
By comparison, the intervening rally attempt - between the blue arrows - came on lighter volume (including this year's two lightest-volume sessions), indicating that bearish momentum continues to set the market tone.

手上标普的这笔长单这周不知道撑不撑得住。  好在做了两个波段，也锁定了150个点的利润。  止损就不改了。  看来这几天又要测试一次1100，不过这回阻力就不一定撑的住了。  一旦向上突破，则中期的判断需要重新审视。

556# feng-pan

Federal Reserve chief Ben Bernanke adds that the outlook is "unusually uncertain."  多方很难牛起来了

老渔夫 发表于 2010-7-22 04:46
556# feng-pan

Federal Reserve chief Ben Bernanke adds that the outlook is "unusually uncertain."  多方很难牛起来了

是的，今天标普的分析记在新帖子里了：
http://www.pinggu.org/bbs/viewthread.php?tid=864096&page=1&from^^uid=1140434#pid6527673

Assuming Ben knows what he's talking about, and that's a big IF considering his past record, uncertainty is actually good for trading.