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[公告] 量化投资实践专栏(20) [推广有奖]

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fengyg 企业认证  发表于 2019-9-12 16:57:25 |AI写论文

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“尘满面,鬓如霜。哀哀亲恩,不思量,自难忘。



  汉江月,秋风情。悠悠故乡,随水远,与云长。”



In honor of my beloved parents (Mid-Autumn Festival in 2019 )



    " May the road rise to meet you!"



    " May the wind be always at your back!"



    " May God hold you in the palm of his hand!"




2019年9月12日下午三点焦炭主力合约J2001分析结果(地球村里,位置大概纬度3.86~53.55,经度73.66~135.05,隔壁家的黑皮二愣子最近这几天疯傻痴呆的绝症在中秋月圆之时又复发的厉害,拿着大刀到处砍人,两眼冒青光,看来月亮对此动物的周期性影响还是比较大的,就像天龙八部里的那个鸠摩智,隐疾周期性的复发。不过月亮扫过,这波反弹趋势即将结束,马上就要向下回调了,具体时间和点位天机不可泄露,只能"密音传功"。)

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Price is currently in the SECOND 4 daycycle, of the SECOND 9 day cycle, of the SECOND 18 day cycle, of the FIRST 37day cycle, of the 75 day cycle.


Formal Phasing Analysis (inverted analysis:synchronised peaks) reveals that the dominant cycle has a wavelength of 37.2d,or 37 bars. This is assumed to be the 40d nominal wave, which implies that allwaves will be (9%) longer than nominal. This cycle is overdue for a HIGH (and aminor nest-of-highs). The underlying trend to this cycle is currently slightly UP,likely accelerating. Recent fulfilled projections however indicate that theunderlying trend is FLAT, probably turning UP. The future FLD indicates thatthis cycle will influence prices to peak soon, and then fall.


The sub-dominant cycle (next wave down fromthe dominant cycle) has a wavelength of 18.9d, or 19 bars. This is assumed tobe the 20d nominal wave. This cycle is overdue for a HIGH (and a very minornest-of-highs). This is probably the SECOND of 2 sub-waves. The underlyingtrend to this cycle is currently slightly UP, likely slowing down. Recentfulfilled projections however indicate that the underlying trend is FLAT,probably turning UP. The future FLD indicates that this cycle will influenceprices to FALL.


The pre-dominant cycle (next wave up fromthe dominant cycle) has a wavelength of 75.5d, or 76 bars. This is assumed tobe the 80d nominal wave. This cycle is RISING fast. The underlying trend tothis cycle is currently slightly UP, likely accelerating. Recent fulfilledprojections however would seem to indicate that the underlying trend isSTRONGLY DOWN. The future FLD indicates that this cycle will influence pricesto RISE.


Σ L is currently UP (strength: 1), and accelerating.

The 37.2d CYCLE component of Σ L iscurrently STRONGLY UP (strength: 5 cycles), and accelerating.

The 18.9d CYCLE component of Σ L iscurrently DOWN (strength: 1), and accelerating.

The 9.9d CYCLE component of Σ L iscurrently UP (strength: 1), but decelerating.

The 4.9d CYCLE component of Σ L iscurrently FLAT


CURRENT FLD PATTERN PROJECTION:

Price is currently moving UP (last close2005), in the final move of an active downwards FLD pattern. It is possiblethat the first sequence of the FLD pattern has already been fulfilled, by thelow of 1831 on 2019/8/28 which would indicate that the second, UPWARD sequenceof the pattern is now in progress.

The first FLD pattern sequence (ref #0)projects a price movement DOWN to a target of 1883.25 by about 2019/8/22.

The second FLD pattern sequence (ref #1)projects a price movement UP to a target of 2146.81 by about 2019/10/5. Pricemight cross OVER the 75 day FLD on 2019/9/16 & level: 2012.29 however thisFLD cross is too late in the cycle to be considered valid, and so it is morelikely that the FLD will form resistance at this level.


OUTSTANDING FLD PROJECTIONS:

75.5d: no projection

37.2d Normal FLD projection created on2019/9/10 projecting a price rise of 123.5000 to 2078.0000 by 2019/9/23. Thisis still a valid projection target.

18.9d Normal FLD projection created on2019/9/5 projecting a price rise of 98.4583 to 2027.9170 by 2019/9/13. This isstill a valid projection target.

9.9d: no projection

4.9d: no projection





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