林毅夫：中国经济未来30年仍将高速发展

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世界银行首席经济学家兼副行长林毅夫日前表示，中国经济仍有潜力在未来20至30年以8%的速度增长。　　林毅夫是在纽约哥伦比亚大学东亚研究所发表演讲时作上述表示的。林毅夫说，一国的经济发展主要决定于技术创新。与发达国家投入大量资金、人力研发新技术以取得技术创新不同，发展中国家应通过从发达国家引进已有的、新的、好的技术来达到技术“创新”。
　　林毅夫说，包括中国在内的发展中国家收入水平、技术发展水平、产业结构水平与发达国家有差距，可以利用这个技术差距，通过引进技术的方式，来加速技术变迁，从而使经济发展得更快，获得所谓“后发优势”。
　　林毅夫说，改革开放30年以来，中国经济以年均9.8%的速度持续增长，经济总量增长17.6倍，创造了人类经济发展史上的奇迹。但目前中国的人均收入只相当于日本上世纪50年代、韩国70年代的水平，仍属于发展中国家，中国在经济发展过程中的“后发优势”仍然巨大，中国经济有可能在未来20年至30年时间内继续保持8%的增长。
　　林毅夫认为，中国经济保持继续快速增长必须遵循两个原则：首先，继续深化经济体制改革，进一步去除扭曲市场的因素；其次，中国必须继续遵循自身的竞争优势，寻找符合“后发优势”的产业。

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关键词：中国经济未来 中国经济 林毅夫 哥伦比亚大学 首席经济学家 发展 林毅夫 中国经济

我对中国经济只看好未来的7-8年，潜力大不得不承认呢，阻力大也不得不承认！

I wish to repeat: GDP omits human capital (just as it omits environmental capital; i.e. "Green GDP".) GDP does not equal economic growth or national strength. Thus, this fellow Dr. Lin does not perceive the damage of the 31 years-long 1-child policy.

Again, human capital forms approximately 2/3 of national wealth, environmental capital 1/6, and the human-made wealth 1/6. GDP mainly tracks the last. As a first-order estimate: If the 1/6 grows at 10%, but the 2/3 shrinks at 50% per cohort, annual real economic growth equals minus 32%.

Not only is China not growing, it is dying. The value of destroyed human capital far exceeds the buildings and goods whatnot built.

A policy of national depopulation and dumbing-down subtracts from GDP in ways not immediately appear:

1) It halves the national talent accumulated in cities. The bulk talent of every country migrates to the cities, and the commis have halved China's, and to re-halve again in the next 30 years.

Who should produce China's innovation (already evanescent) after a talent reduction of 75%? Can this unthinking "Dr." Lin Yifu answer an 101-level question?

2) The pre-emptive destruction of all family businesses this generation, and in the next, as well as of surviving family businesses. Most businesses in the West are Jewish-founded-or-hijacked-and-run family businesses, at the board-room level at least. Family members play an essential role in MONITORING employees and scattered offices. Anything not monitored gets stolen or falls apart. Moreover, the Jews rely on their Jews-only secret society of B'nai B'rith (membership circa 400,000) to monitor their worldwide assets. The commis don't understand how private businesses actually work because none ever operated one and killed who did.

No families = no global businesses

Hello,

Could you history's greatest dupes - grandchildren of dumb-animals and commi murderers - please stop genociding yourselves?

YES, STOP MURDERING 5,000,000 to 10,000,000 CHILDREN A YEAR YOU FILTHY ANIMALS.

If you haven't the brains to do even that, forget this talk of growth or even national existence because you don't know how much trouble you're in: the Rothschilds and Rockefellers have already killed 200 million of you - your didi and meimei, and they won't leave 500 million or even 200 million Chinese to retaliate. They're gonna ****en wipe you all out.