2010诺贝尔经济学奖有奖预测活动

还不如让人预测下这次的诺奖和什么领域相关更有意义些。人的话也太难了吧，经济学家知道几个，可都是已经中过奖的人

今年的应该给宏观和计量了,如果是宏观,我选择巴罗和罗默,如果是计量,我选择lars Hansen，GMM再不给个奖说不过去了。

Last year, the most popular names on the list were William Nordhaus (Sterling Professor of Economics, Yale University) and  Martin Weitzman ( Professor of Economics, Harvard University) fo their work on Environment Economics.  As I am in the fiance area, I am pretty much leaning towards the winnners of Fama/French, or Shiller/Thaler for their empirical work in Efficient market hypothesis and behavior finance. I also think these guys are very competitive.

Alberto Alesina
Nathaniel Ropes Professor of Political Economics, Department of Economics, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA USA
Why: for theoretical and empirical studies on the relationship between politics and macroeconomics, and specifically for research on politico-economic cycle
Nobuhiro Kiyotaki
Professor of Economics, Department of Economics, Princeton University, Princeton NJ USA
Why: for formulation of the Kiyotaki-Moore model, which describes how small shocks to an economy may lead to a cycle of lower output resulting from a decline in collateral values that creates a restrictive credit environment
John H. Moore
George Watson’s and Daniel Stewart’s Professor of Political Economics, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, Scotland, and Professor of Economics, Department of Economics, London School of Economics, London, England
Why: for formulation of the Kiyotaki-Moore model, which describes how small shocks to an economy may lead to a cycle of lower output resulting from a decline in collateral values that creates a restrictive credit environment
Kevin M. Murphy
George J. Stigler Distinguished Service Professor of Economics, University of Chicago Booth School of Business, Chicago, IL USA, and Senior Fellow, Hoover Institution, Stanford CA USA
Why: for pioneering empirical research in social economics, including wage inequality and labor demand, unemployment, addiction, and the economic return of investment in medical research.

Professor Kaushik Basu of Cornell, for his contribution to theory of games in understanding human behaviour and his contribution to development economics

Eugene Fama,不是他还是谁~~

安格斯.麦迪森    对宏观计量经济史学、长期经济增长的国际比较等方面做出了开创性的贡献  
                             被誉为经济史的考古学家与预言家

林毅夫。。。。张五常吧。。。

我押个冷的。今年气候灾害比较多。所以我猜美国耶鲁大学经济学教授威廉·D·诺德豪斯和哈佛大学经济学教授马丁·L·魏茨曼，这两人对目前流行的环境和气候经济学作出了不凡贡献。
哈佛大学教授罗伯特 巴罗在宏观经济，经济增长理论方面造诣颇深，挺希望巴罗获奖的。

克拉克奖获得者 美国伊利诺伊州芝加哥大学布斯商学院 杰出贡献经济学教授以及美国加州斯坦福胡佛研究所高级研究员 Kevin M. Murphy  （Work at Booth School of Business University of Chicago，National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)，Department of Economics University of Chicago）
因在社会经济学领域的开创性实证研究而获奖，所涉主题包括工资不平等和劳动力需求、失业、成瘾以及医学研究投资经济回报

预测一：Albert  Alesina，美国哈佛大学，研究政治经济周期；
预测二：凯文·默菲(Kevin M. Murphy)美国伊利诺伊州芝加哥大学,主要成就：在社会经济学取得开创实证性研究，其中包括：工资不平等和劳动力需求、失业、成瘾以及医学研究经济投资回报等主题。

也许华中科技大学张培刚教授也有资格啊  哈哈