【出版时间及名称】:2009年11月美国电动汽车行业研究报告
【作者】:德意志银行
【文件格式】:PDF
【页数】:152
【目录或简介】:
Table of Contents
Executive summary ........................................................................... 3
Electrification of the automobile appears to be inevitable............ 6
The regulatory environment is pushing automakers toward
electrification ..................................................................................... 8
The US has clearly set a new direction .....................................................................................9
US expected to reach 23% xEV penetration by 2020 .............................................................14
Europe appears poised to set standards that would be difficult to achieve without
electrification..........................................................................................................................16
European demand outlook......................................................................................................21
Japan: Hybrids and other electrified vehicles could account for over half of the market by
2020.......................................................................................................................................23
Japan demand outlook............................................................................................................26
China is sending signals for more significant change .............................................................30
Korea: “Green Car” program envisions 10% full EV’s by 2020 ..............................................33
Rise of the electric vehicle .............................................................. 35
A typical HEV is able to increase the efficiency of a vehicle through 3 mechanisms… ..........35
Electric Vehicle Categories......................................................................................................36
The battery is key ............................................................................ 39
Today: Nickel metal hydride (NiMH)........................................................................................39
Future: Advanced lithium ion chemistries...............................................................................39
Lithium ion batteries have several advantages…....................................................................40
Challenges ..............................................................................................................................40
Advanced lithium ion batteries address these deficiencies ....................................................41
There are four main types of automotive lithium ion batteries................................................42
Declining battery costs should also help propel increased xEV penetration ...........................45
Economics could be an even more important driver of
electrification ................................................................................... 48
Payback analysis .....................................................................................................................48
Total cost of ownership model ...............................................................................................51
Alternative business models could accelerate the shift toward electrification .......................52
Global HEV/PHEV/EV market projections..................................... 59
Battery capacity outlook................................................................. 63
Ener1 Inc........................................................................................... 66
A123 Systems Inc. ......................................................................... 100
Company briefs: Automakers and battery-makers..................... 128
US automakers.....................................................................................................................128
US Battery suppliers .............................................................................................................129
Japan: Overview of products & projects...............................................................................131
Japan: Cost structure for Li-ion – view and targets from Japan............................................134
Japan: Battery Suppliers .......................................................................................................139
Japan: Non-battery component suppliers .............................................................................141
Japan: Battery component suppliers ....................................................................................141
Korea: Automakers...............................................................................................................142
Korea: Battery suppliers .......................................................................................................143
Europe: Automakers .............................................................................................................144